Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	19:30	Canal+ Live 1


	Carcassonne		Colomiers

	1	X	2
	2.6	21	1.53
	2.55	20	1.54
	2.61	15	1.55
	2.8	21	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.91)	19.25 ↑ (18)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carcassonne
34.9%

Draw
4.8%

Colomiers
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

5.1%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

5.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Colomiers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colomiers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carcassonne - Colomiers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Colomiers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 7)
2nd Half (13 - 8)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 2.

In recent matches, Carcassonne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colomiers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Colomiers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 317:453. (average 16.7:23.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 177:158. (average 22.1:19.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
03.10.25	Béziers - Carcassonne	31:19 ✺
26.09.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne	19:34 ✺
19.09.25	Carcassonne - Agen	13:17 ✺
12.09.25	Nevers - Carcassonne	26:17 ✺
05.09.25	Carcassonne - Oyonnax Rugby	19:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLLW
- Colomiers
French Pro D2
03.10.25	Colomiers - Agen	31:5 ✺
26.09.25	SA XV Charente - Colomiers	15:37 ✺
19.09.25	Colomiers - Stade Aurillacois	38:13 ✺
12.09.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Colomiers	30:14 ✺
04.09.25	Colomiers - Biarritz	44:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
06.01.23	Carcassonne - Colomiers	9:21
26.08.22	Colomiers - Carcassonne	24:6
31.03.22	Carcassonne - Colomiers	24:18
05.11.21	Colomiers - Carcassonne	16:17
14.01.21	Colomiers - Carcassonne	37:13
08.11.20	Carcassonne - Colomiers	24:22
10.11.19	Colomiers - Carcassonne	40:15

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