Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Mont-De-Marsan		Carcassonne

	1	X	2
	1.13	34	6
	1.15	30	5.4
	1.12	26	5.5
	1.14	36	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.1)	31.5 ↑ (23)	5.64 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mont-De-Marsan
80.8%

Draw
2.9%

Carcassonne
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.2%

3.9%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mont De Marsan - Carcassonne Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mont-De-Marsan will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 21)
2nd Half (12 - 13)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 4.

In this match, Mont-De-Marsan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 497:376. (average 24.9:18.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mont-De-Marsan won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 305:169. (average 30.5:16.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
19.09.25	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	43:9 ✺
12.09.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Vannes	30:28 ✺
05.09.25	Agen - Mont-De-Marsan	53:7 ✺
29.08.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Colomiers	20:24 ✺
16.05.25	Agen - Mont-De-Marsan	45:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLL
- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
19.09.25	Carcassonne - Agen	13:17 ✺
12.09.25	Nevers - Carcassonne	26:17 ✺
05.09.25	Carcassonne - Oyonnax Rugby	19:17 ✺
29.08.25	Stade Aurillacois - Carcassonne	41:10 ✺
French Nationale Rugby Union
28.03.25	Carcassonne - Stade Langonnais	21:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
17.03.23	Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan	37:9
16.12.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne	42:13
07.01.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne	25:10
10.09.21	Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan	22:26
26.02.21	Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne	26:23
22.12.20	Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan	17:16
14.02.20	Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan	37:35

Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide