Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 13

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	Carcassonne		Vannes

	1	X	2
	4.5	26	1.2
	4.7	26	1.19
	4.9	25.5	1.2	Watch
	4.5	26	1.2
	5.05	21	1.18
	3.8	26	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↓ (6.16)	25.08 ↓ (26.23)	1.21 ↑ (1.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carcassonne
20.1%

Draw
3.7%

Vannes
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

3.5%

81.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vannes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Carcassonne - Vannes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 10)
2nd Half (0 - 42)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 1.

Carcassonne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vannes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Vannes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 280:290. (average 21.5:22.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 158:138. (average 22.6:19.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
28.11.25	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	48:16 ✺
14.11.25	Carcassonne - Valence Romans Drôme	28:32 ✺
07.11.25	US Dax - Carcassonne	19:0 ✺
31.10.25	Carcassonne - Biarritz	23:23 ✺
24.10.25	FC Grenoble - Carcassonne	57:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLTL
- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
28.11.25	Vannes - Agen	36:15 ✺
16.11.25	Vannes - FC Grenoble	28:18 ✺
07.11.25	Nevers - Vannes	22:13 ✺
31.10.25	Vannes - Valence Romans Drôme	64:10 ✺
24.10.25	Colomiers - Vannes	17:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
14.04.23	Carcassonne - Vannes	22:31
16.09.22	Vannes - Carcassonne	34:21
04.03.22	Vannes - Carcassonne	23:26
22.10.21	Carcassonne - Vannes	14:14
26.03.21	Vannes - Carcassonne	22:15
11.12.20	Carcassonne - Vannes	6:6
23.08.19	Carcassonne - Vannes	37:10

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