Match Info

Date: 22 December 2020, Tuesday


	Colomiers		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.87
	1.4	21	3
	1.43	23	2.8
	1.38	19	2.9
	1.4	21	3
	1.46	19.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	20.75 ↓ (22)	2.91 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colomiers
64.3%

Draw
4.4%

Perpignan
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

4.2%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

3.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colomiers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colomiers than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colomiers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Colomiers - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Colomiers will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Perpignan will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perpignan: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:17

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Preview

Recent matches Colomiers is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perpignan in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Colomiers is a favorite.

Perpignan in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Last 10 head-to-head matches Colomiers won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 216-217.

Including matches at home between the teams Colomiers won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 132-76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colomiers
French Pro D2
17.12.20	Montauban - Colomiers	16:13 ✺
10.12.20	Colomiers - FC Grenoble	15:12 ✺
05.12.20	Béziers - Colomiers	14:9 ✺
26.11.20	Colomiers - Nevers	19:16 ✺
21.11.20	Colomiers - Oyonnax Rugby	16:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWT
- USA Perpignan
French Pro D2
18.12.20	Perpignan - Oyonnax Rugby	20:10 ✺
10.12.20	Valence Romans Drôme - Perpignan	9:28 ✺
04.12.20	Perpignan - SA XV Charente	49:0 ✺
27.11.20	Perpignan - Stade Aurillacois	31:6 ✺
19.11.20	Vannes - Perpignan	19:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
08.09.19	Perpignan - Colomiers	34:13
04.02.18	Perpignan - Colomiers	40:13
27.08.17	Colomiers - Perpignan	27:25
20.01.17	Colomiers - Perpignan	32:20
06.11.16	Perpignan - Colomiers	22:26
05.02.16	Colomiers - Perpignan	41:16
29.11.15	Perpignan - Colomiers	23:23

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