Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport


	Montauban		Colomiers

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.57	21	2.4
	1.65	24	2.38
	1.62	22.75	2.41
	1.53	23	2.5
	1.63	26	2.33	Watch
	1.65	24	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	23.11 ↑ (19.67)	2.41 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
57.7%

Draw
4%

Colomiers
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61%

4.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

4.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Colomiers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montauban, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colomiers than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colomiers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montauban - Colomiers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Montauban will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 31)
6', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
11', Timu C. (Try),
11', Auriac M. (Conversion Goal),
24', Coletta A. (Try),
24', Auriac M. (Conversion Goal),
30', Gregoire B. (Try),
30', Herron B. (Conversion Goal),
36', Herron B. (Penalty Goal),
39', Ahmed S. (Try),
39', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
40+3', Timu C. (Try),
40+3', Herron B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 0)
50', Ringuet K. (Try),
51', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 2.

Recent matches Montauban is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colomiers is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Colomiers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montauban will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Montauban to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Montauban won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 416:471 (average 20.8:23.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 209:179 (average 20.9:17.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
18.04.25	SA XV Charente - Montauban	18:19 ✺
11.04.25	Montauban - US Dax	35:23 ✺
03.04.25	Biarritz - Montauban	26:23 ✺
28.03.25	Montauban - Brive	17:21 ✺
07.03.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Montauban	39:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLL
- Colomiers
French Pro D2
17.04.25	Colomiers - Agen	59:10 ✺
11.04.25	Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers	37:46 ✺
04.04.25	Colomiers - Nevers	51:34 ✺
28.03.25	Colomiers - Oyonnax Rugby	62:12 ✺
07.03.25	Provence Rugby - Colomiers	24:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
31.10.24	Colomiers - Montauban	33:29
26.04.24	Colomiers - Montauban	24:20
03.11.23	Montauban - Colomiers	13:37
03.02.23	Montauban - Colomiers	25:19
18.11.22	Colomiers - Montauban	19:23
07.01.22	Montauban - Colomiers	22:8
24.09.21	Colomiers - Montauban	41:14

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