Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 6

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	FC Grenoble		Provence Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.36	26	3.25
	1.33	26	3
	1.41	24	2.95
	1.42	24.17	2.97	Watch
	1.4	29	3.01
	1.41	24	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.24)	25.53 ↑ (21.5)	3.02 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Grenoble
66.1%

Draw
3.6%

Provence Rugby
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.2%

4.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Grenoble's form might have worsened.

Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provence Rugby's recent form is better than expected.

FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Provence (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5 - FC Grenoble (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Grenoble (votes: 1 - 50%). Provence (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 11)
2nd Half (3 - 13)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Provence Rugby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, FC Grenoble is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 291:275. (average 22.4:21.2).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Grenoble won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 138:94. (average 23:15.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grenoble
French Pro D2
26.09.25	Brive - FC Grenoble	24:21 ✺
18.09.25	FC Grenoble - Nevers	20:17 ✺
11.09.25	Agen - FC Grenoble	38:20 ✺
05.09.25	FC Grenoble - Stade Aurillacois	38:16 ✺
29.08.25	Oyonnax Rugby - FC Grenoble	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
26.09.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	42:15 ✺
19.09.25	Vannes - Provence Rugby	40:7 ✺
12.09.25	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	52:8 ✺
05.09.25	Provence Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	30:33 ✺
29.08.25	SA XV Charente - Provence Rugby	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
29.05.25	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	38:17
17.01.25	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	24:18
06.09.24	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	15:12
30.05.24	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	22:23
17.05.24	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	44:20
04.01.24	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	45:10
06.01.23	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	23:23

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