Match Info
Friendly InternationalDate: 8 November 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | TF 1 |
Germany | ProSieben Maxx |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
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France |
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South Africa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.09 |
22 |
1.77 |
Watch |
 |
1.97 |
22.36 |
1.89 |
Watch |
 |
2 |
19 |
1.83 |
|
 |
2.1 |
22 |
1.79 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.93) |
21.34 ↑ (19.5) |
1.82 ↓ (1.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
France 45.1% | Draw 4.3% | South Africa 50.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)France - South Africa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 51.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
France will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): France will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Erdocio B.
| 1. Venter B.
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2. Marchand J.
| 2. Marx M.
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3. Montagne R.
| 3. du Toit T.
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4. Flament T.
| 4. Etzebeth E.
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5. Meafou E.
| 5. de Jager L.
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6. Jelonch A.
| 6. Kolisi S. (C)
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7. Boudehent P.
| 7. du Toit P.
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8. Guillard M.
| 8. Wiese J.
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9. Le Garrec N.
| 9. Reinach C.
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10. Ntamack R.
| 10. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
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11. Bielle-Biarrey L.
| 11. Arendse K.
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12. Fickou G. (C)
| 12. de Allende D.
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13. Barassi P.
| 13. Kriel J.
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14. Penaud D.
| 14. Kolbe C.
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15. Ramos T.
| 15. Willemse D.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Cramont G.
| 16. Grobbelaar J.
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17. Gros J. B.
| 17. Steenekamp G.
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18. Aldegheri D.
| 18. Louw W.
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19. Taofifenua R.
| 19. Snyman R.
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20. Auradou H.
| 20. Nortje R.
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21. Jegou O.
| 21. Esterhuizen A.
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22. Lucu M.
| 22. Williams G.
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23. Depoortere N.
| 23. Libbok M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Galthie F.
| . Erasmus J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 13)
- 4', Penaud D. (Try),
- 5', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', de Jager L. ↓, Nortje R. ↑,
- 13', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Nortje R. ↓, de Jager L. ↑,
- 27', Penaud D. (Try),
- 28', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 32', Venter B. ↓, Steenekamp G. ↑,
- 33', Reinach C. (Try),
- 34', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', de Jager L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (3 - 19)
- 41', Kolisi S. ↓, Nortje R. ↑,
- 48', Erdocio B. ↓, Gros J. B. ↑,
- 48', Marchand J. ↓, Cramont G. ↑,
- 48', Montagne R. ↓, Aldegheri D. ↑,
- 48', Guillard M. ↓, Jegou O. ↑,
- 48', Meafou E. ↓, Taofifenua R. ↑,
- 48', du Toit T. ↓, Louw W. ↑,
- 48', Etzebeth E. ↓, Snyman R. ↑,
- 48', de Allende D. ↓, Esterhuizen A. ↑,
- 57', Willemse D. ↓, Libbok M. ↑,
- 59', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 60', Le Garrec N. ↓, Lucu M. ↑,
- 60', Fickou G. ↓, Depoortere N. ↑,
- 60', Reinach C. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
- 64', Bielle-Biarrey L. 🟨,
- 65', Esterhuizen A. (Try),
- 71', Williams G. (Try),
- 72', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 72', Boudehent P. ↓, Auradou H. ↑,
- 77', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Try),
- 78', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 1.France may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, France won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 152:230. (average 19:28.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rugby World Cup | | | 15.10.23 | France - South Africa | 28:29 | | Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 12.11.22 | France - South Africa | 30:26 | | 10.11.18 | France - South Africa | 26:29 | | 18.11.17 | France - South Africa | 17:18 | | 24.06.17 | South Africa - France | 35:12 | | 17.06.17 | South Africa - France | 37:15 | | 10.06.17 | South Africa - France | 37:14 |
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