Match Info
Friendly InternationalDate: 1 November 2025, SaturdayLocation: Wembley Stadium (London)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 4 |
Japan | J sports 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports 2 |
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 |
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 |
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South Africa |
|
Japan |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1 |
30 |
16 |
|
 |
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|
|
Watch |
 |
1 |
50 |
50 |
|
 |
1 |
67 |
41 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1 (1) |
49 ↑ (39) |
35.67 ↑ (34) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-38)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Africa 95.4% | Draw 1.9% | Japan 2.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)South Africa - Japan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 65.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (15.03) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 51:13 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Nche O.
| 1. Kobayashi K.
|
2. Marx M.
| 2. Sato K.
|
3. Porthen Z.
| 3. Shuhei T.
|
4. Snyman R.
| 4. Cornelsen J.
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5. de Jager L.
| 5. Dearns W.
|
6. Kolisi S.
| 6. Gunter B.
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7. Mostert F.
| 7. Shimokawa K.
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8. Wiese J.
| 8. Leitch M.
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9. Reinach C.
| 9. Fujiwara S.
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10. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
| 10. Seung-Sin L.
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11. Arendse K.
| 11. Osada T.
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12. de Allende D.
| 12. Lawrence C.
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13. Kriel J.
| 13. Riley D.
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14. Hooker E.
| 14. Ishida K.
|
15. Kolbe C.
| 15. Yazaki Y.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Grobbelaar J.
| 16. Hirao S.
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17. Steenekamp G.
| 17. Iwaihara R.
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18. Louw W.
| 18. Tamefusa K.
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19. Nortje R.
| 19. Paul T.
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20. Esterhuizen A.
| 20. Makisi F.
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21. Smith K.
| 21. Fukuda K.
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22. Williams G.
| 22. Greene S.
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23. Libbok M.
| 23. Costley T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (26 - 0)
- 4', Kolisi S. (Try),
- 5', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Try),
- 14', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Try),
- 19', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Missed Conversion),
- 19', Nche O. ↓, Steenekamp G. ↑,
- 36', Shuhei T. 🟨,
- 36', (Penalty Try),
- 2nd Half (35 - 7)
- 44', Gunter B. 🟨,
- 45', Marx M. ↓, Grobbelaar J. ↑,
- 45', Porthen Z. ↓, Louw W. ↑,
- 45', Kolisi S. ↓, Esterhuizen A. ↑,
- 45', Wiese J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 47', Louw W. (Try),
- 48', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Leitch M. ↓, Makisi F. ↑,
- 52', Yazaki Y. (Try),
- 53', Seung-Sin L. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Reinach C. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
- 54', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. ↓, Libbok M. ↑,
- 54', Lawrence C. ↓, Costley T. ↑,
- 57', Arendse K. (Try),
- 59', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Shimokawa K. ↓, Paul T. ↑,
- 63', Esterhuizen A. (Try),
- 64', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Kobayashi K. ↓, Iwaihara R. ↑,
- 64', Shuhei T. ↓, Tamefusa K. ↑,
- 65', Sato K. ↓, Hirao S. ↑,
- 65', Fujiwara S. ↓, Fukuda K. ↑,
- 68', de Jager L. ↓, Nortje R. ↑,
- 68', Tamefusa K. ↓, Shuhei T. ↑,
- 68', Seung-Sin L. ↓, Greene S. ↑,
- 69', Arendse K. (Try),
- 69', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Hooker E. ↓, Reinach C. ↑,
- 79', Kriel J. (Try),
- 80+1', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
South Africa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, South Africa is the obvious favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 99:44. (average 33:14.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;