Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 1Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: One NZ Stadium (Christchurch)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
France | TF 1 |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Movistar Deportes |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Spain | M+ Deportes, Movistar Plus+ |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
New Zealand |
|
France |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.18 |
|
4.33 |
|
 |
1.25 |
19 |
4.2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
Watch |
 |
1.19 |
25.18 |
3.98 |
|
 |
1.2 |
27 |
4.7 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.21 ↑ (1.17) |
17.8 ↓ (26) |
4.3 ↓ (5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand 74.2% | Draw 5% | France 20.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)New Zealand - France Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 57.5 - under (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. de Groot E.
| 1. Poirot J.
|
2. Taylor C.
| 2. Lamothe M.
|
3. Newell F.
| 3. Bamba D.
|
4. Lord J.
| 4. Auradou H.
|
5. Darry S.
| 5. Staniforth T.
|
6. Lakai P.
| 6. Bochaton P.
|
7. Jacobson L.
| 7. Jegou O.
|
8. Savea A. (C)
| 8. Gazzotti M.
|
9. Roigard C.
| 9. Lucu M. (C)
|
10. Love R.
| 10. Jalibert M.
|
11. Clarke C.
| 11. Attissogbe T.
|
12. Barrett J.
| 12. Moefana Y.
|
13. Tupaea Q.
| 13. Brau-Boirie F.
|
14. Jordan W.
| 14. Penaud D.
|
15. McKenzie D.
| 15. Spring M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Aumua A.
| 16. Massa B.
|
17. Numia X.
| 17. Wardi R.
|
18. Lomax T.
| 18. Montagne R.
|
19. Hannah J.
| 19. Guillard M.
|
20. Sititi W.
| 20. Tixeront K.
|
21. Ratima C.
| 21. Le Garrec N.
|
22. Proctor B.
| 22. Hastoy A.
|
23. Fineanganofo F.
| 23. Depoortere N.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Rennie D.
| . Galthie F.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 13)
- 2', Penaud D. (Try),
- 2', Love R. 🟨,
- 3', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
- 7', Spring M. ↓, Hastoy A. ↑,
- 8', Jordan W. (Try),
- 8', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
- 15', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
- 21', Lakai P. (Try),
- 21', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Hastoy A. ↓, Spring M. ↑,
- 30', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Bochaton P. ↓, Guillard M. ↑,
- 40', Roigard C. (Try),
- 40+1', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (15 - 19)
- 42', Spring M. ↓, Hastoy A. ↑,
- 47', Hastoy A. (Try),
- 48', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
- 48', Bamba D. ↓, Montagne R. ↑,
- 50', Roigard C. (Try),
- 51', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Lakai P. ↓, Sititi W. ↑,
- 54', de Groot E. ↓, Numia X. ↑,
- 54', Newell F. ↓, Lomax T. ↑,
- 56', Staniforth T. ↓, Tixeront K. ↑,
- 56', Poirot J. ↓, Wardi R. ↑,
- 59', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 60', Lucu M. (Missed Conversion),
- 60', Taylor C. ↓, Aumua A. ↑,
- 62', Tupaea Q. ↓, Proctor B. ↑,
- 63', Lamothe M. ↓, Massa B. ↑,
- 66', Love R. (Penalty Goal),
- 69', Lord J. ↓, Hannah J. ↑,
- 69', Brau-Boirie F. ↓, Depoortere N. ↑,
- 70', Clarke C. ↓, Fineanganofo F. ↑,
- 71', Jordan W. (Try),
- 72', Jordan W. (Missed Conversion),
- 77', Roigard C. ↓, Ratima C. ↑,
- 77', Lucu M. ↓, Le Garrec N. ↑,
- 78', Jalibert M. (Try),
- 80', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 3. In this match, New Zealand is considered a favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 444:274. (average 29.6:18.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;