What is the expert prediction for Harlequins vs Exeter Chiefs?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Harlequins vs Exeter Chiefs. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Harlequins vs Exeter Chiefs Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, February 08, 2026)

Match Info

Premiership Women - Round 10

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Harlequins		Exeter Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.58	21	2.45
	5.99	14.30	1.18	Watch
	1.58	21	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (1.62)	18.77 ↓ (21)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harlequins
37.7%

Draw
6.1%

Exeter Chiefs
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

4.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harlequins's form might have worsened.

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 28)
2nd Half (17 - 10)

Preview

Exeter Chiefs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Harlequins will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 102:162. (average 25.5:40.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Harlequins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:106. (average 26:53).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Exeter Chiefs W	14	7	3	4	412:311	46
6	Harlequins W	15	5	1	9	412:453	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harlequins FC Women
English Premiership Rugby Women
31.01.26	Ealing Trailfinders - Harlequins	26:27 ✺
20.12.25	Harlequins - Bristol	38:12 ✺
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19 ✺
09.11.25	Harlequins - Gloucester-Hartpury	26:33 ✺
02.11.25	Saracens - Harlequins	47:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Exeter Chiefs Women
English Premiership Rugby Women
13.12.25	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	14:24 ✺
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19 ✺
15.02.25	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	21:12 ✺
08.02.25	Bristol - Exeter Chiefs	45:17 ✺
02.02.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Women
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19
02.02.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	30:31
09.12.23	Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs	27:52
04.03.23	Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs	25:54

Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide