Match Info
NPC - Round 6Date: 4 September 2026, Friday ๐ Finished Location: McLean Park (Napier) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Africa | — | SuperSport Rugby |
 Australia | 17:10 | Stan Sport |
 Nigeria | 08:10 | SuperSport Rugby |
 South Africa | 09:10 | SuperSport Rugby |
 International | 07:10 | RugbyPass TV |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Hawkes Bay |
|
Otago |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.41 |
29 |
2.9 |
|
 |
1.36 |
23 |
3 |
 Watch |
 |
1.37 |
26 |
2.65 |
|
 |
1.41 |
23 |
3.02 |
|
 |
1.41 |
29 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.42) |
26 ↓
(30) |
2.89 ↓
(2.97) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawkes Bay
65.2% | Draw
3.5% | Otago
31.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The chances for Otago have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Hawkes Bay - Otago Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 24)
- 2nd Half (21 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 4.Hawkes Bay has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Otago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Hawkes Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hawkes Bay is a strong favorite.We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 429:339. (average 28.6:22.6).Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 223:181. (average 31.9:25.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 10.08.25 | Otago - Hawkes Bay | 21:27 | | 19.08.23 | Hawkes Bay - Otago | 33:32 | | 17.08.22 | Otago - Hawkes Bay | 18:13 | | 14.08.21 | Hawkes Bay - Otago | 34:10 | | 03.10.20 | Otago - Hawkes Bay | 9:28 | | 18.10.19 | Hawkes Bay - Otago | 44:39 OT | | 22.08.19 | Hawkes Bay - Otago | 29:21 |
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