Match Info

NPC - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eden Park (Auckland) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	15:05	Stan Sport
Mexico	23:05	Disney+
Nigeria	06:05	SuperSport Rugby
South Africa	07:05	SuperSport Rugby
International	05:05	RugbyPass TV


	Auckland		Hawkes Bay

	1	X	2
	3.6	20	1.3
	3.5	29	1.3
	3.4	21	1.3	Watch
	3.65	40	1.27
	3.76	23	1.3	Watch
	3.5	29	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.45)	27 ↑ (24.95)	1.3 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland
25.7%

Draw
3.4%

Hawkes Bay
70.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

3.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auckland's form might have worsened.

Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hawkes Bay's recent form is better than expected.

Auckland - Hawkes Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:38

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 17)
2nd Half (14 - 27)

Preview

In this match, Hawkes Bay is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 134:144. (average 26.8:28.8).

Including home match between the teams, Auckland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland Rugby
New Zealand NPC
07.08.26	Auckland - Wellington	34:31 ✺
01.08.26	Canterbury - Auckland	38:31 ✺
03.10.25	Auckland - Otago	17:51 ✺
25.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	45:28 ✺
19.09.25	Counties Manukau - Auckland	49:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
08.08.26	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	50:19 ✺
02.08.26	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	33:52 ✺
18.10.25	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	43:19 ✺
11.10.25	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	26:12 ✺
04.10.25	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	10:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
25.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	45:28
27.09.24	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	36:35
25.08.23	Auckland - Hawkes Bay	34:22
07.09.16	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	24:25
24.09.15	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	17:12

Auckland - Hawkes Bay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide