Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 3


	Italy		South Africa

	1	X	2
	7.8	40	1.07	Watch
	7.08	25.30	1.11	Watch
	10	34	1.06
	8	46	1.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.22 ↓ (12.5)	36.33 ↓ (45)	1.08 ↑ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
11.3%

Draw
2.6%

South Africa
86.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

7.5%

2.1%

90.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Italy - South Africa Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:37

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischetti D.	1. Venter B.
2. Nicotera G.	2. Grobbelaar J.
3. Riccioni M.	3. Porthen Z.
4. Cannone N.	4. Kleyn J.
5. Zambonin A.	5. Mostert F.
6. Vintcent R.	6. Kolisi S.
7. Zuliani M.	7. Dixon B.
8. Cannone L.	8. van Staden M.
9. Varney S.	9. van den Berg M.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Pollard H.
11. Ioane M.	11. Arendse K.
12. Menoncello T.	12. Hooker E.
13. Brex N.	13. Moodie C.
14. Lynagh L.	14. van der Merwe E.
15. Capuozzo A.	15. Willemse D.
Substitutes
16. Di Bartolomeo T.	16. Steenekamp G.
17. Spagnolo M.	17. Louw W.
18. Ferrari S.	18. Snyman R.
19. Ruzza F.	19. Nortje R.
20. Favretto R.	20. Esterhuizen A.
21. Odiase D.	21. Smith K.
22. Page-Relo M.	22. Williams G.
23. Allan T.	23. Libbok M.
Coaches
. Quesada G.	. Erasmus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 10)
11', Mostert F. 🟥,
34', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
37', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
40+1', van Staden M. (Try),
40+2', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (11 - 22)
44', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
52', van Staden M. 🟨,
53', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
55', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
58', Cannone L. 🟨,
60', van den Berg M. (Try),
61', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
65', Capuozzo A. (Try),
72', Williams G. (Try),
73', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
79', Hooker E. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0.

South Africa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, South Africa is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 90:318. (average 11.3:39.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
08.11.25	Italy - Australia	26:19 ✺
12.07.25	South Africa - Italy	45:0 ✺
05.07.25	South Africa - Italy	42:24 ✺
27.06.25	Namibia - Italy	6:73 ✺
Six Nations
15.03.25	Italy - Ireland	17:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLLWL
- South Africa rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
08.11.25	France - South Africa	17:32 ✺
01.11.25	South Africa - Japan	61:7 ✺
Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Argentina - South Africa	27:29 ✺
27.09.25	South Africa - Argentina	67:30 ✺
13.09.25	New Zealand - South Africa	10:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
12.07.25	South Africa - Italy	45:0
05.07.25	South Africa - Italy	42:24
19.11.22	Italy - South Africa	21:63
Rugby World Cup
04.10.19	South Africa - Italy	49:3
Friendly International Rugby Union
25.11.17	Italy - South Africa	6:35
19.11.16	Italy - South Africa	20:18
22.11.14	Italy - South Africa	6:22

Italy - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide