Match Info

Top 14 - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	La Rochelle		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.14	30	5.6
	1.14	29.76	6.18	Watch
	1.14	45	5.7
	1.15	34	5.53
	1.14	35	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.17)	34.63 ↑ (26.82)	5.85 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
81.5%

Draw
2.7%

Clermont
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80%

3.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

La Rochelle - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:20

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Penverne L.	1. Frisach M.
2. Latu S.	2. Fourcade E.
3. Sorin K.	3. Dzmanashvili G.
4. Kante-Samba C.	4. Lanen T.
5. Waqanisaravi W.	5. Swain D.
6. Jegou O.	6. Tixeront K.
7. Alldritt G. (C)	7. Veschambe B.
8. McFarland T.	8. Sowakula P.
9. Le Garrec N.	9. Jauneau B. (C)
10. Hastoy A.	10. Bouraux J.
11. Daunivucu S.	11. Raka A.
12. Niniashvili D.	12. Belaubre M.
13. Leyds D.	13. Loaloa A.
14. Elissalde S.	14. Nanai-Seturo E.
15. Nowell J.	15. Hamdaoui K.
Substitutes
16. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.	16. Narisia P.
17. Kaddouri A.	17. Akhaladze G.
18. Adelaide T.	18. Michaux L.
19. Timo A.	19. Chalus-Cercy A.
20. Boudehent P.	20. Zamora L.
21. Botia L.	21. Plummer H.
22. Bouju V.	22. Frier T.
23. Kuntelia A.	23. Ez Zahouany N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 13)
6', Bouraux J. (Penalty Goal),
9', Leyds D. (Try),
10', Le Garrec N. (Missed Conversion),
12', Bouraux J. (Penalty Goal),
23', Daunivucu S. (Try),
23', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
25', Jauneau B. (Try),
26', Bouraux J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 0)
48', McFarland T. (Try),
49', Le Garrec N. (Missed Conversion),
57', Loaloa A. 🟨,
59', Hastoy A. (Try),
60', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
63', Boudehent P. (Try),
63', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
67', Nowell J. (Try),
67', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 11th and 6th in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 3.

The betting markets point to La Rochelle as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, La Rochelle has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 461:451 (averaging 23.1:22.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for La Rochelle against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 262:146 goals (averaging 29.1:16.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Stade Rochelais	5	3	0	2	116:119	13
8	Clermont	5	2	0	3	118:146	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
French Top 14
26.09.26	Section Paloise - La Rochelle	39:17 ✺
19.09.26	La Rochelle - Racing Métro	10:20 ✺
12.09.26	Toulon - La Rochelle	20:21 ✺
06.09.26	La Rochelle - Toulouse	30:27 ✺
14.06.26	Stade Français - La Rochelle	45:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
26.09.26	Clermont - Castres	20:6 ✺
19.09.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	46:24 ✺
12.09.26	Clermont - Stade Français	25:16 ✺
05.09.26	Lyon - Clermont	40:36 ✺
06.06.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Clermont	31:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
25.01.26	Clermont - La Rochelle	32:27
13.09.25	La Rochelle - Clermont	27:16
29.03.25	Clermont - La Rochelle	33:19
21.12.24	La Rochelle - Clermont	20:15
03.03.24	La Rochelle - Clermont	42:3
02.09.23	Clermont - La Rochelle	11:10
22.04.23	La Rochelle - Clermont	26:13

Upcoming Matches