Match Info

Top 14 - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
France	CANAL+ France
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	ESPN 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1


	La Rochelle		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.5	21	1.57
	2.55	24	1.52
	2.64	22.85	1.55	Watch
	2.55	24	1.52
	2.64	18	1.51
	2.55	24	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.09)	22.31 ↑ (18.36)	1.53 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
35.8%

Draw
4.1%

Toulouse
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

5.1%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Rochelle's form might have worsened.

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:32

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaddouri A.	1. Neti R.
2. Bourgarit P.	2. Marchand J.
3. Sorin K.	3. Mallez P.
4. Kante-Samba C.	4. Flament T.
5. Adelaide T.	5. Meafou E.
6. McFarland T.	6. Cros F.
7. Jegou O.	7. Martin Bonnard R.
8. Alldritt G. (C)	8. Roumat A.
9. Le Garrec N.	9. Dupont A. (C)
10. Hastoy A.	10. Ntamack R.
11. Leyds D.	11. Lebel M.
12. Daunivucu S.	12. Menoncello T.
13. Seuteni U.	13. Barassi P.
14. Nowell J.	14. Capuozzo A.
15. Niniashvili D.	15. Ramos T.
Substitutes
16. Latu S.	16. Mauvaka P.
17. Penverne L.	17. Bertrand B.
18. Boudehent P.	18. Brennan J.
19. Timo A.	19. Ntamack T.
20. Tuifua S.	20. Graou P.
21. Haddad M.	21. Gourgues K.
22. Elissalde S.	22. Thomas T.
23. Kuntelia A.	23. Colombe Reazel G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 24)
14', Kante-Samba C. (Try),
14', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
17', Menoncello T. (Try),
17', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
23', Meafou E. (Try),
23', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
27', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
29', Ntamack T. (Try),
29', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
31', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (20 - 3)
52', Le Garrec N. (Try),
53', Le Garrec N. (Conversion Goal),
56', Le Garrec N. (Penalty Goal),
58', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
63', Colombe Reazel G. 🟨,
65', Hastoy A. (Try),
65', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
74', Latu S. 🟥,
80', Latu S. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 2.

Toulouse will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rochelle won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 429:489. (average 21.5:24.5).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rochelle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 210:136. (average 23.3:15.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Stade Toulousain	6	5	0	1	197:124	24
4	Stade Rochelais	6	4	0	2	144:135	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
French Top 14
14.06.26	Stade Français - La Rochelle	45:5 ✺
06.06.26	La Rochelle - Stade Français	27:22 ✺
30.05.26	Montauban - La Rochelle	15:71 ✺
17.05.26	La Rochelle - Toulouse	38:10 ✺
10.05.26	Racing Métro - La Rochelle	24:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
27.06.26	Toulouse - Montpellier	28:20 ✺
19.06.26	Toulouse - Racing Métro	71:17 ✺
06.06.26	Racing Métro - Toulouse	31:20 ✺
30.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	39:31 ✺
17.05.26	La Rochelle - Toulouse	38:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
17.05.26	La Rochelle - Toulouse	38:10
28.12.25	Toulouse - La Rochelle	60:14
04.01.25	La Rochelle - Toulouse	22:19
15.09.24	Toulouse - La Rochelle	35:27
21.06.24	Toulouse - La Rochelle	39:23
02.06.24	Toulouse - La Rochelle	31:31
30.12.23	La Rochelle - Toulouse	29:8

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