Match Info
Top 14 - Round 20Date: 28 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 France | CANAL+ France |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
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Toulouse |
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Montpellier |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.02 |
51 |
13 |
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 |
1.02 |
50 |
11 |
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 |
1.02 |
51.95 |
16.44 |
 Watch |
 |
1.01 |
41 |
13 |
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 |
1.02 |
32 |
14.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.02 ↓
(1.03) |
45.19 ↑
(42.27) |
13.53 ↓
(14.26) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-26)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Toulouse
91.1% | Draw
2.1% | Montpellier
6.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 44:18 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Ainuu D.
| 1.  Erdocio B.
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2. Cramont G.
| 2.  Riccitelli R.
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3.  Merkler J.
| 3. Haouas M.
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4. Flament T.
| 4.  Beard A.
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5. Meafou E.
| 5. Chalureau B.
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6. Banos L.
| 6. Tauleigne M.
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7. Brennan J.
| 7. Becognee A.
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8. Jelonch A. (C)
| 8.  Masibaka A.
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9. Graou P.
| 9. Coly L.
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10. Ntamack R.
| 10. Vincent T.
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11. Lebel M.
| 11. Rates M.
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12.  Chocobares S.
| 12. Piccardo J.
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13. Costes P.
| 13. Vincent A. (C)
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14. Kinghorn B.
| 14. Taofifenua D.
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15. Ramos T.
| 15. Echegaray J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Lacombre T.
| 16. Akrab L.
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17. Baille C.
| 17.  Abuladze N.
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18. Verge C.
| 18. Uhila M.
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19. Ntamack T.
| 19. Camara Y.
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20.  Willis J.
| 20. Bernadet A.
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21. Dupont A.
| 21.  Martin K.
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22. Thomas T.
| 22. Darmon T.
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23. Aldegheri D.
| 23. Welsch V.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (31 - 15)
- 2', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),
- 6', Ramos T. (Try),
- 7', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Vincent T. (Try),
- 13', Graou P. (Try),
- 13', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Graou P. (Try),
- 32', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Costes P. (Try),
- 35', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Erdocio B. (Try),
- 39', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 14)
- 42', Kinghorn B. (Try),
- 43', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Tauleigne M. (Try),
- 59', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Tauleigne M. 🟨,
- 69', Willis J. 🟨,
- 70', Akrab L. (Try),
- 71', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Lacombre T. (Try),
- 75', Ntamack R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 4. In this match, Toulouse is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 454:416. (average 22.7:20.8).Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 236:122. (average 26.2:13.6).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
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| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Toulouse - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 91.19%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 20.09.25 | Montpellier - Toulouse | 44:14 | | 25.01.25 | Toulouse - Montpellier | 27:17 | | 21.09.24 | Montpellier - Toulouse | 11:20 | | 18.05.24 | Montpellier - Toulouse | 22:29 | | 27.08.23 | Toulouse - Montpellier | 38:13 | | 29.01.23 | Toulouse - Montpellier | 23:9 | | 02.10.22 | Montpellier - Toulouse | 17:19 |
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