Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Energy Trust Arena (Palmerston North) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	14:35	Stan Sport
New Zealand	16:35	Sky Sport 1
United Kingdom	05:35	FloSports app


	Manawatu		Bay of Plenty

	1	X	2
	3.4	28	1.31
	13.48	32.21	1.02	Watch
				Watch
	3.33	26	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↑ (4.1)	28.74 ↑ (24)	1.23 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manawatu
14.9%

Draw
3.5%

Bay of Plenty
81.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.3%

3.8%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manawatu's form might have worsened.

Bay of Plenty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bay of Plenty's recent form is better than expected.

Manawatu - Bay of Plenty Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:36

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 31)
2nd Half (12 - 24)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bay of Plenty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bay of Plenty is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 158:331. (average 19.8:41.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 81:100. (average 27:33.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
13.09.25	Auckland - Manawatu	52:29 ✺
05.09.25	Manawatu - Waikato	36:26 ✺
29.08.25	Canterbury - Manawatu	53:14 ✺
24.08.25	Manawatu - Wellington	38:28 ✺
15.08.25	Southland - Manawatu	29:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWL
- Bay of Plenty
New Zealand NPC
12.09.25	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	21:24 ✺
06.09.25	Taranaki - Bay of Plenty	17:43 ✺
29.08.25	North Harbour - Bay of Plenty	7:19 ✺
21.08.25	Bay of Plenty - Southland	25:30 ✺
15.08.25	Bay of Plenty - Canterbury	7:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
06.09.24	Bay of Plenty - Manawatu	68:14
16.10.20	Manawatu - Bay of Plenty	35:53
18.10.19	Bay of Plenty - Manawatu	64:3
04.10.19	Bay of Plenty - Manawatu	46:10
27.09.18	Bay of Plenty - Manawatu	15:17
08.09.17	Manawatu - Bay of Plenty	17:20
08.10.16	Bay of Plenty - Manawatu	38:33

Manawatu - Bay of Plenty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide