Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Energy Trust Arena (Palmerston North) 🌤️ ...


	Manawatu		Waikato

	1	X	2
	2.75	26	1.44
	2.7	25	1.48
	3.3	21	1.3
	2.43	23	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)	23.75 ↑ (22)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manawatu
32.9%

Draw
3.9%

Waikato
63.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

4.2%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manawatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Waikato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manawatu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manawatu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waikato than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waikato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Manawatu - Waikato Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manawatu will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Waikato will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manawatu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 12)
2nd Half (14 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Waikato is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 106:149. (average 17.7:24.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:47. (average 22.5:23.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
29.08.25	Canterbury - Manawatu	53:14 ✺
24.08.25	Manawatu - Wellington	38:28 ✺
15.08.25	Southland - Manawatu	29:22 ✺
09.08.25	Tasman - Manawatu	49:17 ✺
01.08.25	Manawatu - North Harbour	38:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 LWLLW
- Waikato
New Zealand NPC
31.08.25	Waikato - Southland	10:25 ✺
22.08.25	Taranaki - Waikato	22:23 ✺
17.08.25	Waikato - Counties Manukau	27:26 ✺
08.08.25	Waikato - Wellington	24:35 ✺
31.07.25	Auckland - Waikato	35:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
26.08.22	Waikato - Manawatu	53:6
17.08.18	Manawatu - Waikato	24:19
15.09.17	Waikato - Manawatu	10:23
04.09.16	Waikato - Manawatu	19:10
21.08.15	Manawatu - Waikato	21:28
26.09.14	Waikato - Manawatu	20:22

Manawatu - Waikato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide