Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Energy Trust Arena (Palmerston North) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	01:35	Disney+
Australia	14:35	Stan Sport
Brazil	01:35	Disney+
Chile	00:35	Disney+
Colombia	23:35	Disney+
Mexico	22:35	Disney+
New Zealand	16:35	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	05:35	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	23:35	Disney+
South Africa	06:35	SuperSport Rugby
Uruguay	01:35	Disney+
Venezuela	00:35	Disney+


	Manawatu		Wellington

	1	X	2
	3.6	21	1.28
	3.6	30	1.28
	3.70	24.75	1.31	Watch
	4.2	36	1.18
				Watch
	3.8	30	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.3)	28.35 ↓ (35)	1.26 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manawatu
24.2%

Draw
3.2%

Wellington
72.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

2.6%

76.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manawatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Manawatu - Wellington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:37

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 0.

Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wellington is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 225:342. (average 22.5:34.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 108:176. (average 21.6:35.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
15.08.25	Southland - Manawatu	29:22 ✺
09.08.25	Tasman - Manawatu	49:17 ✺
01.08.25	Manawatu - North Harbour	38:25 ✺
04.10.24	Manawatu - Counties Manukau	26:45 ✺
28.09.24	Taranaki - Manawatu	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLL
- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
16.08.25	Wellington - Otago	41:46 ✺
08.08.25	Waikato - Wellington	24:35 ✺
01.08.25	Wellington - Canterbury	15:33 ✺
25.10.24	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	23:20 OT ✺
19.10.24	Wellington - Waikato	29:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
24.08.24	Wellington - Manawatu	39:31
05.08.23	Manawatu - Wellington	6:22
16.10.21	Manawatu - Wellington	16:36
13.11.20	Wellington - Manawatu	31:5
23.09.18	Manawatu - Wellington	7:49
20.08.17	Manawatu - Wellington	29:41
05.10.16	Manawatu - Wellington	50:28

Manawatu - Wellington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Manawatu - Wellington Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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