Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trafalgar Park (Nelson) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	01:35	Disney+
Australia	14:35	Stan Sport
Brazil	01:35	Disney+
Chile	00:35	Disney+
Colombia	23:35	Disney+
Mexico	22:35	Disney+
New Zealand	16:35	Sky Sport 1
Peru	23:35	Disney+
Uruguay	01:35	Disney+
Venezuela	00:35	Disney+


	Tasman		Manawatu

	1	X	2
	1.03	34	11
	1.02	40	11
	1.06	35.30	9.58	Watch
	1.05	41	9
	1.04	41	14
	1.04	41	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)	38.72 ↓ (50)	11.43 ↑ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasman
89.5%

Draw
2.4%

Manawatu
8.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

87.3%

1.9%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tasman - Manawatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 43:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 0)
2nd Half (21 - 17)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 5.

Manawatu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tasman is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 386:161. (average 42.9:17.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tasman won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 220:57. (average 55:14.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
02.08.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	37:7 ✺
12.10.24	Tasman - Canterbury	14:62 ✺
05.10.24	Tasman - Taranaki	29:42 ✺
02.10.24	Tasman - Auckland	31:17 ✺
28.09.24	Otago - Tasman	47:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
01.08.25	Manawatu - North Harbour	38:25 ✺
04.10.24	Manawatu - Counties Manukau	26:45 ✺
28.09.24	Taranaki - Manawatu	33:31 ✺
21.09.24	Manawatu - Otago	10:28 ✺
18.09.24	Manawatu - Southland	26:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
11.08.24	Manawatu - Tasman	21:54
03.09.23	Tasman - Manawatu	58:19
02.09.22	Manawatu - Tasman	26:36
23.08.19	Tasman - Manawatu	64:3
19.09.18	Manawatu - Tasman	19:29
26.08.17	Manawatu - Tasman	35:20
27.08.15	Tasman - Manawatu	41:21

Tasman - Manawatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide