Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 2


	Stade Aurillacois		Carcassonne

	1	X	2
	1.2	34	4.5
	1.24	25	4.1
	1.23	29.46	4.42	Watch
	1.2	26	4.5
	1.21	20	4.42
	1.2	23	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.14)	26.24 ↑ (19)	4.41 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Aurillacois
75.7%

Draw
3.5%

Carcassonne
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

4.7%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Aurillacois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Stade Aurillacois - Carcassonne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 3)
2nd Half (29 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 2.

In this match, Stade Aurillacois is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 435:448. (average 21.8:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Aurillacois won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 268:146. (average 26.8:14.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Aurillacois
French Pro D2
01.06.25	Chambéry - Stade Aurillacois	15:43 ✺
16.05.25	Stade Aurillacois - Montauban	36:10 ✺
09.05.25	Nevers - Stade Aurillacois	20:21 ✺
25.04.25	Stade Aurillacois - Brive	23:39 ✺
18.04.25	US Dax - Stade Aurillacois	26:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLL
- US Carcassonne
French Nationale Rugby Union
28.03.25	Carcassonne - Stade Langonnais	21:16 ✺
08.12.23	Carcassonne - Hyères	31:14 ✺
French Pro D2
05.05.23	Carcassonne - Provence Rugby	34:14 ✺
28.04.23	Montauban - Carcassonne	28:23 ✺
14.04.23	Carcassonne - Vannes	22:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
10.02.23	Stade Aurillacois - Carcassonne	30:26
21.10.22	Carcassonne - Stade Aurillacois	27:9
15.04.22	Carcassonne - Stade Aurillacois	54:24
15.10.21	Stade Aurillacois - Carcassonne	30:23
05.03.21	Carcassonne - Stade Aurillacois	15:14
04.12.20	Stade Aurillacois - Carcassonne	23:6
06.03.20	Stade Aurillacois - Carcassonne	24:12

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