Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 4


	Mont-De-Marsan		Montauban

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.4
	1.3	23	3.4
	1.35	23	3.35
	1.35	24.77	3.46	Watch
	1.33	26	3.25
	1.31	18	3.56
	1.35	23	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.33)	22.97 ↑ (22.19)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mont-De-Marsan
69%

Draw
4%

Montauban
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

4.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

3.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Mont De Marsan - Montauban Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mont-De-Marsan will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 10)
10', Dufour F. (Try),
16', Ringuet K. (Try),
17', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
34', du Plessis W. (Penalty Goal),
37', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (13 - 23)
42', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
45', Uanivi T. (Try),
46', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
51', Azpiazu Y. L. (Penalty Goal),
55', Azpiazu Y. L. (Penalty Goal),
62', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
69', Lagrange S. (Try),
70', Azpiazu Y. L. (Conversion Goal),
77', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
78', Moreaux V. (Try),
78', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mont-De-Marsan won 2.

Recent matches Mont-De-Marsan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montauban is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mont-De-Marsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mont-De-Marsan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mont-De-Marsan to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Mont-De-Marsan won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 433:424 (average 21.7:21.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mont-De-Marsan won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 239:142 (average 26.6:15.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
10.01.25	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	34:0 ✺
20.12.24	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	47:32 ✺
13.12.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Mont-De-Marsan	28:23 ✺
06.12.24	Mont-De-Marsan - FC Grenoble	30:26 ✺
29.11.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	24:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWW
- US Montauban
French Pro D2
17.01.25	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	25:23 ✺
09.01.25	FC Grenoble - Montauban	35:15 ✺
20.12.24	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	30:33 ✺
13.12.24	Béziers - Montauban	34:20 ✺
06.12.24	Montauban - SA XV Charente	20:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
06.09.24	Montauban - Mont-De-Marsan	35:19
10.05.24	Montauban - Mont-De-Marsan	26:24
10.11.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	30:13
14.04.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	25:13
23.09.22	Montauban - Mont-De-Marsan	43:19
04.03.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	27:23
21.10.21	Montauban - Mont-De-Marsan	21:18

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