The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montauban 58.5%
Draw 4.8%
Oyonnax Rugby 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.6%
4.8%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
4.9%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Oyonnax Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Oyonnax Rugby aligns with the current prediction.
Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
AH +4.5 - Oyonnax (1.80) (votes: 91%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (7 - 20)
2', Matkava L. (Penalty Goal),
7', Ahmed S. (Try),
7', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
9', Matkava L. (Penalty Goal),
13', Roussel A. (Try),
13', Matkava L. (Conversion Goal),
17', Joly F. (Try),
17', Matkava L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 3)
50', Kanika N. (Try),
50', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
52', Herve E. (Try),
52', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
56', Matkava L. (Penalty Goal),
74', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montauban won 1.
Montauban has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Oyonnax is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montauban holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Montauban in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Montauban has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 220:413 (averaging 16.9:31.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montauban against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 144:142 goals (averaging 24:23.7 per game).