Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 6


	Montauban		Oyonnax Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.6
	1.53	21	2.5
	1.52	21	2.6
	1.54	21.95	2.68	Watch
	1.53	23	2.5
	1.51	15	2.67
	1.52	21	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)	20.56 ↑ (19.81)	2.59 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
60.1%

Draw
4.5%

Oyonnax Rugby
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

4.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

4.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Oyonnax Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: Montauban will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 20)
3', Mouchous B. (Penalty Goal),
9', Holmes Z. (Penalty Goal),
11', Mouchous B. (Penalty Goal),
19', Godener L. (Try),
19', Holmes Z. (Conversion Goal),
22', Powell J. (Try),
22', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),
28', Hermet H. (Try),
28', Holmes Z. (Conversion Goal),
32', Notshe S. (Try),
32', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),
40', Holmes Z. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 13)
43', Quercy F. (Try),
44', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),
46', Salles M. (Try),
46', Holmes Z. (Conversion Goal),
55', Mouchous B. (Penalty Goal),
73', Holmes Z. (Penalty Goal),
77', Holmes Z. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 2.

Recent matches Montauban is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oyonnax is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montauban will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Montauban to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Montauban won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 183:341 (average 16.6:31).

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 114:109 (average 22.8:21.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
13.12.24	Béziers - Montauban	34:20 ✺
06.12.24	Montauban - SA XV Charente	20:27 ✺
28.11.24	Brive - Montauban	37:22 ✺
14.11.24	Agen - Montauban	18:25 ✺
08.11.24	Montauban - Nissa	34:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWW
- Oyonnax Rugby
French Pro D2
13.12.24	Oyonnax Rugby - SA XV Charente	53:10 ✺
06.12.24	Agen - Oyonnax Rugby	28:14 ✺
29.11.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	24:30 ✺
15.11.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Oyonnax Rugby	18:16 ✺
08.11.24	Oyonnax Rugby - FC Grenoble	23:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
17.02.23	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	21:34
09.12.22	Oyonnax Rugby - Montauban	26:10
25.02.22	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	30:24
15.10.21	Oyonnax Rugby - Montauban	56:6
16.01.21	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	23:17
03.10.20	Oyonnax Rugby - Montauban	34:16
31.01.20	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	21:15

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