The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montauban 52.7%
Draw 4.3%
Brive 43.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.5%
4.7%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
4.5%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montauban's form might have worsened.
Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brive's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montauban, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brive, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Montauban - Brive Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Montauban will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brive will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (19 - 18)
6', Broncan L. (Penalty Goal),
8', Broncan L. (Penalty Goal),
12', Ekuasi V. (Try),
12', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
17', Ahmed S. (Try),
29', Cros G. (Try),
29', Broncan L. (Conversion Goal),
35', Papunashvili D. (Try),
35', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
40', Broncan L. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (13 - 6)
44', Herve E. (Missed Drop Goal),
45', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
48', Herve E. (Missed Penalty),
51', Amone S. (Try),
52', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
59', Cros G. (Try),
59', Broncan L. (Missed Conversion),
63', Broncan L. (Penalty Goal),
69', Broncan L. (Missed Penalty),
79', Herve E. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montauban won 2.
Montauban has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Brive is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Montauban is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Montauban in today's match, at odds of 1.58.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Montauban has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 146:178 (averaging 20.9:25.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montauban against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 79:75 goals (averaging 26.3:25 per game).
France
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