Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 6


	Nevers		Brive

	1	X	2
	1.53	21	2.63
	1.49	22	2.65
	1.53	20.06	2.69	Watch
	1.5	21	2.63
	1.45	15	2.82
	1.53	21	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	20.01 ↑ (18.14)	2.67 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevers
61%

Draw
4.6%

Brive
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

5.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

5.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Brive have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nevers - Brive Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nevers will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brive will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 22)
2nd Half (16 - 9)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevers won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nevers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Nevers will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nevers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 143:141. (average 23.8:23.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 91:75. (average 30.3:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
12.12.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Nevers	34:18 ✺
05.12.25	Nevers - US Dax	32:21 ✺
28.11.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Nevers	13:3 ✺
14.11.25	Colomiers - Nevers	49:6 ✺
07.11.25	Nevers - Vannes	22:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW
- CA Brive
French Pro D2
12.12.25	Brive - Carcassonne	53:16 ✺
05.12.25	Stade Aurillacois - Brive	24:13 ✺
27.11.25	Brive - Colomiers	27:18 ✺
14.11.25	Béziers - Brive	25:17 ✺
07.11.25	Brive - Mont-De-Marsan	68:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
17.01.25	Brive - Nevers	22:23
12.09.24	Nevers - Brive	27:26
09.02.24	Brive - Nevers	13:16
17.11.23	Nevers - Brive	36:18
21.03.19	Nevers - Brive	28:31
02.11.18	Brive - Nevers	31:13

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