Match Info

Top 14 - Round 24

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Montauban		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	34	67	1
	15	40	1
	50	50	1
Avarage Now (Initially)	33 ↑ (32)	52.33 ↑ (50)	1 (1)

The most likely Over/Under: 67.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-39)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
2.9%

Draw
1.8%

Stade Français
95.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

1.9%

95.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Montauban - Stade Français Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:54

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Seyrolle L.	1. Alo-Emile M.
2. Firmin K.	2. Peyresblanques L.
3. Mafileo S.	3. Melikidze G.
4. Uanivi T.	4. Azagoh P.
5. Bean L.	5. Pesenti B.
6. Quercy F. (C)	6. Hirigoyen M.
7. Fifita V.	7. Chapuis R.
8. Notshe S.	8. Tanga Mangene Y.
9. Castel M.	9. Abadie P.
10. Bosviel J.	10. Carbonel L.
11. Gade A. P.	11. Ezeala S.
12. Renda S.	12. Nene N.
13. Espeut M.	13. Ward J. C. (C)
14. Vici J.	14. Dakuwaqa P.
15. Seux J.	15. Ibo M.
Substitutes
16. Jintcharadze V.	16. Garcia A.
17. Bue T.	17. Paiva T.
18. Maafu N.	18. Gabrillagues P.
19. Bitz C.	19. Turagacoke S.
20. Penetro J.	20. Kerr-Barlow T.
21. Leflamand M.	21. Barre L.
22. Reilhac Y.	22. Vili T.
23. Simutoga V.	23. Alo-Emile P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 35)
2', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
8', Ward J. C. (Try),
9', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
13', Nene N. (Try),
13', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
23', Firmin K. 🟨,
24', Alo-Emile M. (Try),
24', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
26', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
27', Peyresblanques L. (Try),
27', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
30', Espeut M. (Try),
30', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
33', Abadie P. (Try),
33', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
36', Firmin K. (Try),
36', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (5 - 36)
44', Ezeala S. (Try),
44', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
47', Nene N. (Try),
47', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
51', Ezeala S. (Try),
51', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
59', Penetro J. (Try),
67', Vili T. (Try),
67', Gade A. P. 🟨,
72', Ezeala S. (Try),
73', (Conversion Goal),
80+7', (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Montauban has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stade Français's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Stade Français has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stade Français is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:42.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Stade Francais Paris	5	2	0	3	117:136	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Top 14
09.05.26	Montpellier - Montauban	59:7 ✺
25.04.26	Montauban - Racing Métro	10:59 ✺
18.04.26	Montauban - Toulon	22:47 ✺
28.03.26	Castres - Montauban	49:17 ✺
21.03.26	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	26:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stade Français
French Top 14
09.05.26	Stade Français - Lyon	59:17 ✺
25.04.26	Stade Français - Section Paloise	31:32 ✺
19.04.26	Racing Métro - Stade Français	47:20 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
05.04.26	Stade Français - Newport Gwent Dragons	31:36 ✺
French Top 14
29.03.26	Stade Français - Clermont	64:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
06.09.25	Stade Français - Montauban	42:24

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