Match Info

Top 14 - Round 19

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Montauban		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	6.5	34	1.11
	6	35	1.12
	6.26	30.23	1.15	Watch
	5.5	29	1.14
	5.02	34	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↓ (8.15)	32.45 ↑ (30.77)	1.14 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
15.8%

Draw
2.9%

Aviron Bayonnais
81.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

3.1%

85.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Montauban will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Bayonne will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:37

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bue T.	1. Bordelai A.
2. Maurouard J.	2. Bosch F.
3. Mafileo S.	3. Tatafu T.
4. Wilkins K. (C)	4. Johnson E.
5. Bean L.	5. Paulos L.
6. Fifita V.	6. Bruni R.
7. Ringuet K.	7. Capilla E.
8. Maafu N.	8. Leota R.
9. Powell J.	9. Germain B.
10. Fortunel T.	10. Segonds J. (C)
11. Vallee P.	11. Carreras M.
12. Renda S.	12. Tuilagi M.
13. Espeut M.	13. Maqala S.
14. Vici J.	14. Spring T.
15. Mouchous B.	15. Orabe Y.
Substitutes
16. Jintcharadze V.	16. Martin L.
17. Seyrolle L.	17. Castillon P.
18. Kanika N.	18. Ariceta M.
19. Uanivi T.	19. Iturria A.
20. Zabalza H.	20. Tilloles B.
21. Bosviel J.	21. Mori F.
22. Mathy M.	22. Tiberghien C.
23. Pomponio F.	23. Tagi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 34)
4', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
8', Germain B. (Try),
8', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
10', Maqala S. (Try),
10', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Vici J. (Try),
16', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
22', Spring T. (Try),
26', Bosch F. (Try),
30', Vallee P. (Try),
30', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
36', Vici J. 🟨,
36', Tuilagi M. 🟨,
37', (Penalty Try),
2nd Half (12 - 26)
43', Fifita V. (Try),
51', Capilla E. (Try),
56', Maqala S. (Try),
56', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
61', Mathy M. (Try),
61', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
65', Zabalza H. 🟨,
65', (Penalty Try),
67', Martin L. (Try),
67', Tilloles B. (Conversion Goal),
78', Mouchous B. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montauban won 0.

In this match, Bayonne is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Montauban won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 152:239. (average 16.9:26.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Montauban won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 91:81. (average 22.8:20.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Aviron Bayonnais	5	4	0	1	156:169	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Top 14
28.02.26	Toulouse - Montauban	68:13 ✺
14.02.26	Lyon - Montauban	73:12 ✺
31.01.26	Montauban - Bordeaux Bègles	16:31 ✺
24.01.26	Perpignan - Montauban	31:8 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Connacht - Montauban	75:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
28.02.26	Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais	38:15 ✺
14.02.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Racing Métro	36:41 ✺
31.01.26	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	31:10 ✺
24.01.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Castres	10:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster	13:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
01.11.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	49:7
French Pro D2
14.04.22	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	23:33
12.12.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	41:24
11.01.19	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	21:16
04.11.18	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	14:25
14.01.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	20:5
02.11.17	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	25:20

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