Match Info

NPC - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: North Harbour Stadium (Auckland) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:05	Disney+
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport
Brazil	23:05	Disney+
Mexico	20:05	Disney+
New Zealand	14:05	Sky Sport 1
Peru	21:05	Disney+
Uruguay	23:05	Disney+
International	02:05	RugbyPass TV


	North Harbour		Canterbury

	1	X	2
	2.25	18.5	1.66
	2.27	25	1.64
	2.2	21	1.62	Watch
	2.16	22	1.58
	2.31	20	1.64
	2.27	25	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)	21.92 ↓ (28)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Harbour
40.3%

Draw
4.1%

Canterbury
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

3.3%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

4.1%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Harbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Harbour than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Harbour that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canterbury than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canterbury could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Harbour - Canterbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 15)
2nd Half (17 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 2.

North Harbour has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Canterbury has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

North Harbour may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Canterbury holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, North Harbour has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 295:382 (averaging 24.6:31.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for North Harbour against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 206:241 goals (averaging 25.8:30.1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Harbour
New Zealand NPC
12.09.26	Hawkes Bay - North Harbour	24:31 ✺
06.09.26	North Harbour - Northland	57:42 ✺
29.08.26	Manawatu - North Harbour	43:40 ✺
22.08.26	North Harbour - Auckland	27:19 ✺
13.08.26	Wellington - North Harbour	7:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW
- Canterbury
New Zealand NPC
12.09.26	Canterbury - Wellington	66:19 ✺
05.09.26	Waikato - Canterbury	14:36 ✺
28.08.26	Taranaki - Canterbury	40:26 ✺
20.08.26	Canterbury - Northland	12:36 ✺
14.08.26	Canterbury - Bay of Plenty	33:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
28.09.24	North Harbour - Canterbury	65:19
12.08.23	North Harbour - Canterbury	24:28
31.08.22	Canterbury - North Harbour	35:22
11.09.20	North Harbour - Canterbury	29:43
12.10.19	Canterbury - North Harbour	24:25
12.09.18	North Harbour - Canterbury	21:31
21.10.17	Canterbury - North Harbour	35:24

North Harbour - Canterbury: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide