Match Info
NPC - Round 7Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: McLean Park (Napier) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 12:05 | Stan Sport |
 New Zealand | 14:05 | Sky Sport 1 |
 International | 02:05 | RugbyPass TV |
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 |
|
 |
|
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Hawkes Bay |
|
North Harbour |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.24 |
18 |
4.4 |
|
 |
1.14 |
26 |
5 |
 Watch |
 |
1.12 |
29 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.18 |
19 |
5.92 |
|
 |
1.15 |
35 |
5.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.17 ↓
(1.32) |
25.4 ↓
(32) |
5.02 ↑
(3.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 66.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawkes Bay
78.2% | Draw
3.6% | North Harbour
18.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay's performance.North Harbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Harbour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Harbour than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Harbour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Hawkes Bay - North Harbour Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 4.Hawkes Bay has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).North Harbour is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).North Harbour may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Hawkes Bay is the undeniable favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 327:298. (average 32.7:29.8).Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 221:159. (average 36.8:26.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 16.08.25 | Hawkes Bay - North Harbour | 36:22 | | 10.08.24 | North Harbour - Hawkes Bay | 32:41 | | 05.08.23 | Hawkes Bay - North Harbour | 23:21 | | 26.08.22 | Hawkes Bay - North Harbour | 25:23 | | 09.10.20 | North Harbour - Hawkes Bay | 46:10 | | 21.09.18 | Hawkes Bay - North Harbour | 34:51 | | 29.09.17 | North Harbour - Hawkes Bay | 33:30 |
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