Match Info

NPC - Round 3

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	04:10	Disney+
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
Brazil	04:10	Disney+
Chile	03:10	Disney+
Colombia	02:10	Disney+
Mexico	01:10	Disney+
Peru	02:10	Disney+
Uruguay	04:10	Disney+
Venezuela	03:10	Disney+
International	07:10	RugbyPass TV


	Wellington		North Harbour

	1	X	2
	2	22	1.83
	1.91	19	1.83	Watch
	1.91	20.6	1.76
	2	15	1.91
	2	22	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	19.72 ↓ (23.02)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington
46%

Draw
4.6%

North Harbour
49.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

North Harbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Wellington - North Harbour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:34

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 12)
2nd Half (0 - 35)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 348:237. (average 34.8:23.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 271:195. (average 33.9:24.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
07.08.26	Auckland - Wellington	34:31 ✺
02.08.26	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	33:52 ✺
03.10.25	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	26:33 ✺
26.09.25	Taranaki - Wellington	39:20 ✺
19.09.25	Wellington - Southland	75:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- North Harbour
New Zealand NPC
06.08.26	North Harbour - Counties Manukau	59:19 ✺
31.07.26	Tasman - North Harbour	31:29 ✺
03.10.25	North Harbour - Southland	15:14 ✺
26.09.25	Otago - North Harbour	41:26 ✺
20.09.25	North Harbour - Northland	21:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
23.09.23	Wellington - North Harbour	26:6
16.10.20	Wellington - North Harbour	25:20
04.10.19	North Harbour - Wellington	42:34
08.09.18	Wellington - North Harbour	35:23
21.10.16	Wellington - North Harbour	37:40
03.09.16	Wellington - North Harbour	21:17
20.08.15	North Harbour - Wellington	0:43

Wellington - North Harbour: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide