Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: North Harbour Stadium (Auckland) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	03:10	Disney+
Australia	16:10	Stan Sport
Brazil	03:10	Disney+
Chile	03:10	Disney+
Colombia	01:10	Disney+
Mexico	00:10	Disney+
Peru	01:10	Disney+
Uruguay	03:10	Disney+
Venezuela	02:10	Disney+


	North Harbour		Southland

	1	X	2
	1.37	23	3.15
	1.48	22.69	2.76	Watch
	1.41	31	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	25.56 ↓ (30)	2.97 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Harbour
65.2%

Draw
3.6%

Southland
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.7%

3.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

3.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Harbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Southland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Harbour than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southland than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

North Harbour - Southland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 14)
2nd Half (8 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 3.

North Harbour has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Southland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

North Harbour might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 319:235. (average 29:21.4).

Including home matches between the teams, North Harbour won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 73:66. (average 18.3:16.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Harbour
New Zealand NPC
26.09.25	Otago - North Harbour	41:26 ✺
20.09.25	North Harbour - Northland	21:22 ✺
12.09.25	Waikato - North Harbour	29:28 ✺
04.09.25	Counties Manukau - North Harbour	22:19 ✺
29.08.25	North Harbour - Bay of Plenty	7:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Southland
New Zealand NPC
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55 ✺
19.09.25	Wellington - Southland	75:19 ✺
14.09.25	Southland - Counties Manukau	10:64 ✺
06.09.25	Southland - Canterbury	14:54 ✺
31.08.25	Waikato - Southland	10:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
04.10.24	Southland - North Harbour	59:35
30.09.22	Southland - North Harbour	8:66
26.09.20	Southland - North Harbour	11:10
25.08.19	Southland - North Harbour	12:33
24.08.17	Southland - North Harbour	20:45
24.09.16	North Harbour - Southland	35:14
30.08.15	Southland - North Harbour	25:26

North Harbour - Southland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide