Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rugby Park Stadium (Invercargill) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
Brazil	04:10	Disney+
Mexico	01:10	Disney+
New Zealand	19:10	Sky Sport 2
Nigeria	08:10	SuperSport Rugby
South Africa	09:10	SuperSport Rugby
United Kingdom	08:10	FloSports app


	Southland		Tasman

	1	X	2
	6.2	29	1.12
	7.18	23.47	1.11	Watch
	6	36	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↓ (7.8)	29.49 ↓ (30)	1.12 ↑ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southland
14.3%

Draw
3.1%

Tasman
82.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.5%

85.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Southland - Tasman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:38

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 41)
2nd Half (31 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland won 0.

In recent matches, Southland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tasman is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tasman is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Southland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 152:401. (average 15.2:40.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Southland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:63. (average 14.5:31.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southland
New Zealand NPC
19.09.25	Wellington - Southland	75:19 ✺
14.09.25	Southland - Counties Manukau	10:64 ✺
06.09.25	Southland - Canterbury	14:54 ✺
31.08.25	Waikato - Southland	10:25 ✺
21.08.25	Bay of Plenty - Southland	25:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 LLLWW
- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
20.09.25	Tasman - Waikato	24:29 ✺
13.09.25	Canterbury - Tasman	31:25 ✺
07.09.25	Tasman - Auckland	21:29 ✺
30.08.25	Tasman - Otago	27:31 ✺
23.08.25	North Harbour - Tasman	19:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
07.08.22	Tasman - Southland	27:20
02.10.21	Tasman - Southland	51:14
24.10.20	Tasman - Southland	47:10
25.08.18	Tasman - Southland	45:24
23.09.17	Tasman - Southland	50:17
15.10.16	Tasman - Southland	56:0
17.09.14	Southland - Tasman	14:38

Southland - Tasman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide