Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


International	RugbyPass TV


	Portugal		Hong Kong

	1	X	2
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.07	35	7.6
	1.06	36	9.5
	1.15	30.69	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.17)	33.92 ↓ (34)	7.3 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
84.6%

Draw
2.7%

Hong Kong
12.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.8%

2.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portugal's performance.

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hong Kong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Portugal - Hong Kong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes L.	1. Fameitau S.
2. Begic L.	2. Scott C.
3. Thomas C.	3. Cinnamond Z.
4. Diniz D.	4. Murphy M.
5. Torgal D.	5. Sullivan K.
6. Almeida F.	6. McNutt T.
7. Martins N.	7. MacKinlay-West P.
8. Wallis de Carvalho D.	8. Hrstich J.
9. Amado T.	9. Brendon N.
10. Vareiro M.	10. McNeish G.
11. Broeiro Bento S.	11. Spanton G.
12. Appleton T.	12. Hill T.
13. Rodrigo M.	13. Axten-Burrett B.
14. Storti R.	14. Ramage M.
15. Guedes N.	15. Worley M.
Substitutes
16. da Cunha A.	16. Sayers H.
17. Mascarenhas N.	17. McCullough C.
18. Prim da Costa A.	18. Solomona Penesa F.
19. Souto M.	19. Bartlett J.
20. Baptista V.	20. Sawyer J.
21. Gomes Camacho H.	21. Wai E.
22. Aubry H.	22. Barker J.
23. Vasconcelos G.	23. McCann D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 12)
9', (Try),
10', Guedes N. (Missed Conversion),
12', Broeiro Bento S. (Try),
13', Guedes N. (Conversion Goal),
20', Guedes N. (Missed Penalty),
24', Rodrigo M. (Try),
25', Guedes N. (Conversion Goal),
28', Fameitau S. (Try),
29', McNeish G. (Conversion Goal),
37', (Try),
38', McNeish G. (Missed Conversion),
40', Guedes N. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (36 - 0)
49', Rodrigo M. (Try),
60', Storti R. (Try),
65', Souto M. (Try),
66', Guedes N. (Missed Conversion),
68', Baptista V. (Try),
69', Guedes N. (Conversion Goal),
70', Vareiro M. (Try),
71', Guedes N. (Conversion Goal),
77', Martins N. (Try),
78', Guedes N. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Portugal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portugal is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portugal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 42:14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
08.11.25	Portugal - Uruguay	8:26 ✺
12.07.25	Portugal - Ireland	7:106 ✺
Rugby Europe Championship
16.03.25	Portugal - Romania	7:21 ✺
01.03.25	Portugal - Spain	31:42 ✺
15.02.25	Romania - Portugal	6:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Hong Kong rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
06.07.24	Chile - Hong Kong	22:17 ✺
Rugby World Cup
18.11.22	Hong Kong - Kenya	22:18 ✺
12.11.22	USA - Hong Kong	49:7 ✺
06.11.22	Portugal - Hong Kong	42:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLL

Latest Head to Head

Rugby World Cup
06.11.22	Portugal - Hong Kong	42:14

Portugal - Hong Kong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide