Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	RugbyPass TV


	Portugal		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	1.67	17	2.3
	1.73	23	2.13
	1.73	20	2.1
	1.89	15.96	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.46)	18.99 ↓ (22)	2.11 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugal
51.9%

Draw
4.8%

Uruguay
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

4.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portugal's form might have worsened.

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay's recent form is better than expected.

Portugal - Uruguay Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomas C.	1. Perillo M.
2. Begic L.	2. Kessler G.
3. da Cunha A.	3. Piussi R.
4. Guilherme C.	4. Aliaga F.
5. Ferreira P.	5. Leindekar M.
6. Almeida F.	6. Ardao M.
7. Martins N.	7. Bianchi L.
8. Wallis de Carvalho D.	8. Deus C.
9. Marques S.	9. Alvarez S.
10. Aubry H.	10. Etcheverry F.
11. Pinto V.	11. Alonso J.
12. Appleton T.	12. Vilaseca A.
13. Rodrigo M.	13. Ferrario J.
14. Storti R.	14. Basso B.
15. Guedes N.	15. Gonzalez J.
Substitutes
16. Costa D.	16. Myszka J.
17. Lopes P.	17. Suarez F.
18. Alves A.	18. Peculo I.
19. Torgal D.	19. Civetta S.
20. Baptista V.	20. Diana M.
21. Amado T.	21. Suarez J.
22. Vasconcelos G.	22. Cotarmanac'h J.
23. Broeiro Bento S.	23. Gonzalez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 3)
21', Alvarez S. (Penalty Goal),
29', (Try),
2nd Half (3 - 23)
42', (Penalty Goal),
48', Alvarez S. (Penalty Goal),
54', Suarez F. (Try),
55', (Conversion Goal),
62', Ardao M. (Try),
70', Alvarez S. (Penalty Goal),
77', Basso B. (Try),

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portugal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 12:6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portugal rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.07.25	Portugal - Ireland	7:106 ✺
Rugby Europe Championship
16.03.25	Portugal - Romania	7:21 ✺
01.03.25	Portugal - Spain	31:42 ✺
15.02.25	Romania - Portugal	6:34 ✺
09.02.25	Portugal - Germany	56:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW
- Uruguay rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
19.07.25	Argentina - Uruguay	52:17 ✺
12.07.25	Uruguay - Romania	70:8 ✺
23.11.24	Romania - Uruguay	21:23 ✺
16.11.24	Japan - Uruguay	36:20 ✺
09.11.24	Spain - Uruguay	33:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Sevens World Series USA
24.01.14	Portugal - Uruguay	19:5
10.02.13	Portugal - Uruguay	5:7

Portugal - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide