Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Provence Rugby		RC Narbonne

	1	X	2
	1	67	34
	1	45	14
				Watch
	1.01	32	9.95
	1.01	50	36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↑ (1)	48.5 ↓ (48.67)	23.49 ↑ (18.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-36)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
94%

Draw
1.9%

RC Narbonne
4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.1%

1.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

RC Narbonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Narbonne (34.00) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 51:15

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 14)
3', Julien L. (Try),
3', Trouilloud R. (Conversion Goal),
12', Julien L. (Try),
12', Trouilloud R. (Conversion Goal),
20', Trouiloud (Try),
20', Trouiloud (Conversion Goal),
29', Hannoun V. (Try),
29', Chauvet T. (Conversion Goal),
36', Trouiloud (Try),
36', Trouiloud (Conversion Goal),
38', Jooste D. (Try),
38', Chauvet T. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Lenoir B. (Try),
2nd Half (14 - 28)
43', Clavieres C. (Try),
43', Chauvet T. (Conversion Goal),
56', Waqa E. (Try),
56', Trouilloud R. (Conversion Goal),
58', Clavieres C. (Try),
58', Chauvet T. (Conversion Goal),
68', Clavieres C. (Try),
69', Trouilloud R. (Conversion Goal),
76', Veyrier J. (Try),
77', Goyenech H. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Navizet H. (Try),
80+2', Goyenech H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

RC Narbonne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Provence is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 113:128. (average 22.6:25.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 62:58. (average 20.7:19.3).

Outrights of French Pro D2 for now

Provence Rugby: 35.28% Narbonne: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Provence Rugby	6	6	0	0	188:134	25
13	Narbonne	6	2	0	4	158:247	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
03.09.26	Colomiers - Provence Rugby	13:18 ✺
27.08.26	Provence Rugby - Agen	44:10 ✺
French Top 14
14.06.26	Provence Rugby - Perpignan	24:47 ✺
French Pro D2
06.06.26	Vannes - Provence Rugby	18:14 ✺
29.05.26	Colomiers - Provence Rugby	28:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW
- RC Narbonne
French Pro D2
04.09.26	RC Narbonne - Nevers	28:26 ✺
27.08.26	US Dax - RC Narbonne	57:19 ✺
02.06.24	RC Narbonne - Montauban	19:20 ✺
French Nationale Rugby Union
27.04.24	Suresnes - RC Narbonne	16:27 ✺
French Pro D2
12.05.22	RC Narbonne - Vannes	14:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
03.02.22	RC Narbonne - Provence Rugby	34:33
17.09.21	Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne	15:18
22.05.16	Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne	19:18
21.08.15	RC Narbonne - Provence Rugby	36:18
16.03.13	Provence Rugby - RC Narbonne	28:22

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