The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nissa 27%
Draw 4.2%
Provence Rugby 68.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.7%
4.7%
65.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.9%
3.9%
71.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Nissa - Provence Rugby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:34
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 20)
8', Cazenave J. (Try),
8', Salles T. (Conversion Goal),
14', Finau I. (Try),
14', Salles T. (Conversion Goal),
22', Labadie E. (Try),
24', Salles T. (Penalty Goal),
27', Salles T. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 14)
41', Salles T. (Penalty Goal),
45', Chauvin L. (Try),
45', Asquini F. (Conversion Goal),
50', Egiziano C. (Try),
51', Asquini F. (Conversion Goal),
55', Ardron T. (Try),
55', Salles T. (Missed Conversion),
67', Olmstead E. (Try),
72', Salles T. (Penalty Goal),
80', Salles T. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
In recent outings, Nissa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Provence is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Provence for this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nissa has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 43:45 (averaging 21.5:22.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nissa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:12 goals.
France
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