Match Info

Top 14 - Relegation - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
France	CANAL+ France
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1
Usa	TV5 Monde


	Provence Rugby		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	3.1	21	1.4
	3.15	21	1.38
	3.23	23.26	1.40	Watch
	3	21	1.4
	3.04	18	1.41
	3.15	21	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (3.08)	20.88 ↑ (19)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provence Rugby
29.6%

Draw
4.4%

Perpignan
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

4.8%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

4.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Provence Rugby - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Perpignan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:29

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Julien L.	1. Tetrashvili G.
2. Latterrade R.	2. Malolo S.
3. Francis T.	3. Brookes K.
4. Tarazona A. (C)	4. Tanguy M.
5. Youyoutte Y.	5. Gray J.
6. Harrison T.	6. Hicks M.
7. Gambini C.	7. Van Tonder J.
8. Jalagonia T.	8. Oviedo J.
9. Coville A.	9. Hall J.
10. Muntz C.	10. Urdapilleta B.
11. Drouet L.	11. Forner T.
12. Finau K.	12. De La Fuente J. (C)
13. Lenoir B.	13. Duguivalu A.
14. Lapegue Lafaye G.	14. Joseph J.
15. Vareiro M.	15. Allan T.
Substitutes
16. Pifeleti K.	16. Ruiz I.
17. Vernet T.	17. Devaux B.
18. Rodda I.	18. Yato P.
19. Okuya M.	19. Tuilagi P.
20. Tuisue A.	20. Le Corvec M.
21. Cazenave J.	21. Ecochard T.
22. Lucas P.	22. Petaia J.
23. Ndiaye H.	23. Ceccarelli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 14)
15', Tetrashvili G. 🟨,
19', Jalagonia T. (Try),
24', Tarazona A. (Try),
31', Malolo S. 🟥,
35', Yato P. (Try),
35', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
37', Tarazona A. 🟨,
39', Forner T. (Try),
39', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 33)
42', Oviedo J. (Try),
42', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
43', Bituniyata S. 🟨,
50', Yato P. (Try),
50', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
59', Drouet L. (Try),
59', Vareiro M. (Conversion Goal),
62', Ruiz I. (Try),
73', Bituniyata S. (Try),
73', Vareiro M. (Conversion Goal),
77', Oviedo J. (Try),
77', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
79', De La Fuente J. (Try),
79', McIntyre J. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Provence Rugby is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Perpignan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Perpignan is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Provence Rugby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 109:145. (average 21.8:29).

Including home matches between the teams, Provence Rugby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 89:72. (average 29.7:24).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	USA Perpignan	6	3	0	3	166:199	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
06.06.26	Vannes - Provence Rugby	18:14 ✺
29.05.26	Colomiers - Provence Rugby	28:36 ✺
23.05.26	Provence Rugby - Brive	39:21 ✺
15.05.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Provence Rugby	21:34 ✺
07.05.26	Provence Rugby - Vannes	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
06.06.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Perpignan	52:7 ✺
30.05.26	Perpignan - Castres	29:27 ✺
16.05.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Perpignan	37:32 ✺
09.05.26	Clermont - Perpignan	45:14 ✺
25.04.26	Perpignan - La Rochelle	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
11.03.21	Perpignan - Provence Rugby	42:3
09.01.21	Provence Rugby - Perpignan	34:41
01.09.19	Provence Rugby - Perpignan	25:10
13.05.16	Perpignan - Provence Rugby	31:17
17.01.16	Provence Rugby - Perpignan	30:21

Provence Rugby - Perpignan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide