Match Info

Date: 10 December 2021, Friday


	RC Narbonne		Carcassonne

	1	X	2
	1.83	17	2
	1.75	23	2.1
	1.76	22	2.05
	1.83	19	2
	1.86	26	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)	21.4 ↓ (26)	2.03 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Narbonne
50.6%

Draw
4.3%

Carcassonne
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

3.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

3.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Narbonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Carcassonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Narbonne than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

RC Narbonne - Carcassonne Predictions

Users Predictions: Carcassonne will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

RC Narbonne has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carcassonne is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carcassonne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches RC Narbonne won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 267-239.

Including matches at home between the teams RC Narbonne won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 154-87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Narbonne
French Pro D2
03.12.21	Vannes - RC Narbonne	13:13 ✺
26.11.21	FC Grenoble - RC Narbonne	26:8 ✺
19.11.21	RC Narbonne - Colomiers	20:23 ✺
05.11.21	Béziers - RC Narbonne	34:18 ✺
29.10.21	RC Narbonne - Aviron Bayonnais	9:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLLLL
- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
02.12.21	Carcassonne - Béziers	24:18 ✺
26.11.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Carcassonne	25:14 ✺
19.11.21	Carcassonne - FC Grenoble	20:9 ✺
05.11.21	Colomiers - Carcassonne	16:17 ✺
29.10.21	Carcassonne - Agen	15:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
16.03.18	Carcassonne - RC Narbonne	52:17
22.09.17	RC Narbonne - Carcassonne	23:19
21.04.17	Carcassonne - RC Narbonne	26:13
16.12.16	RC Narbonne - Carcassonne	27:26
06.05.16	Carcassonne - RC Narbonne	26:20
08.01.16	RC Narbonne - Carcassonne	15:12
28.02.15	RC Narbonne - Carcassonne	33:20

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