Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	SA XV Charente		FC Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.48	21	2.75
	1.55	22	2.5
	1.61	18.15	2.50	Watch
	1.49	27	2.7
	1.62	21	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	21.83 ↑ (18.15)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SA XV Charente
59.7%

Draw
4.2%

FC Grenoble
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

5.1%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

5.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SA XV Charente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

FC Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SA XV Charente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Grenoble than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

SA XV Charente - FC Grenoble Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (16 - 25)
2nd Half (18 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 2.

SA XV Charente has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, FC Grenoble has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

SA XV Charente will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 174:269. (average 14.5:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, SA XV Charente won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 83:107. (average 13.8:17.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soyaux Angoulême XV Charente
French Pro D2
24.10.25	Brive - SA XV Charente	16:25 ✺
17.10.25	SA XV Charente - Biarritz	20:21 ✺
03.10.25	Nevers - SA XV Charente	33:10 ✺
26.09.25	SA XV Charente - Colomiers	15:37 ✺
19.09.25	Valence Romans Drôme - SA XV Charente	31:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WLLLL
- FC Grenoble
French Pro D2
24.10.25	FC Grenoble - Carcassonne	57:12 ✺
17.10.25	Mont-De-Marsan - FC Grenoble	32:18 ✺
03.10.25	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	23:24 ✺
26.09.25	Brive - FC Grenoble	24:21 ✺
18.09.25	FC Grenoble - Nevers	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
06.03.25	SA XV Charente - FC Grenoble	25:13
15.11.24	FC Grenoble - SA XV Charente	37:7
29.03.24	FC Grenoble - SA XV Charente	21:18
17.11.23	SA XV Charente - FC Grenoble	15:28
17.03.23	SA XV Charente - FC Grenoble	21:16
18.11.22	FC Grenoble - SA XV Charente	24:18
15.01.21	FC Grenoble - SA XV Charente	25:20

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