Match Info
Friendly InternationalDate: 12 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium (Gqeberha)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
France | CANAL+ Sport |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
South-africa | SuperSport CSN, SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Action |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
International | RugbyPass TV |
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 |
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South Africa |
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Italy |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1 |
51 |
26 |
|
 |
1 |
40 |
15 |
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 |
|
|
|
Watch |
 |
1.01 |
67 |
17 |
|
 |
1.01 |
50 |
19 |
|
 |
1.01 |
60 |
16 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.01 ↑ (1) |
53.6 ↓ (60) |
18.6 ↑ (18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 66.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-36)
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
South Africa 93.2% | Draw 1.7% | Italy 5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)South Africa - Italy Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 51:15 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. du Toit T.
| 1. Fischetti D.
|
2. Marx M.
| 2. Di Bartolomeo T.
|
3. Louw W.
| 3. Ferrari S.
|
4. Moerat S.
| 4. Cannone N.
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5. Nortje R.
| 5. Zambonin A.
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6. van Staden M.
| 6. Negri S.
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7. du Toit P.
| 7. Zuliani M.
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8. Wiese J.
| 8. Vintcent R.
|
9. Williams G.
| 9. Garbisi A.
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10. Libbok M.
| 10. Da Re G.
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11. Mapimpi M.
| 11. Trulla J.
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12. Esterhuizen A.
| 12. Zanon M.
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13. Moodie C.
| 13. Menoncello T.
|
14. van der Merwe E.
| 14. Lynagh L.
|
15. Le Roux W.
| 15. Belloni M.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Wessels J.
| 16. Dimcheff P.
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17. Nche O.
| 17. Spagnolo M.
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18. Ntlabakanye A.
| 18. Hasa M.
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19. Wiese C.
| 19. Canali M.
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20. Roos E.
| 20. Izekor A.
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21. Reinach C.
| 21. Odiase D.
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22. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
| 22. Varney S.
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23. Hooker E.
| 23. Bertaccini G.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Erasmus J.
| . Quesada G.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 0)
- 9', Williams G. (Try),
- 10', Libbok M. (Missed Conversion),
- 16', van der Merwe E. (Try),
- 16', Libbok M. (Missed Conversion),
- 18', Trulla J. ↓, Bertaccini G. ↑,
- 21', Wiese J. 🟥,
- 30', du Toit T. ↓, Nche O. ↑,
- 31', van der Merwe E. (Try),
- 32', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Moodie C. (Try),
- 38', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 0)
- 44', Louw W. 🟨,
- 44', Fischetti D. 🟨,
- 52', Marx M. (Try),
- 53', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Di Bartolomeo T. ↓, Dimcheff P. ↑,
- 53', Ferrari S. ↓, Hasa M. ↑,
- 57', Williams G. ↓, Reinach C. ↑,
- 57', Moerat S. ↓, Wiese C. ↑,
- 57', Le Roux W. ↓, Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. ↑,
- 57', van Staden M. ↓, Roos E. ↑,
- 57', Moodie C. ↓, Hooker E. ↑,
- 66', Negri S. ↓, Izekor A. ↑,
- 66', Marx M. ↓, Wessels J. ↑,
- 67', Zambonin A. ↓, Canali M. ↑,
- 67', Fischetti D. ↓, Spagnolo M. ↑,
- 67', Louw W. ↓, Ntlabakanye A. ↑,
- 68', Garbisi A. ↓, Varney S. ↑,
- 71', Zuliani M. ↓, Odiase D. ↑,
- 73', Mapimpi M. (Try),
- 74', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Wessels J. (Try),
- 80+1', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 4.South Africa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, South Africa is the obvious favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 273:90. (average 39:12.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;