Match Info
Friendly InternationalDate: 29 November 2025, SaturdayLocation: Principality Stadium (Cardiff)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV6, Sport TV7 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, Discovery+, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate |
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Wales |
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South Africa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
14 |
40 |
1 |
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 |
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Watch |
 |
41 |
50 |
1 |
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 |
17 |
29 |
1 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
24 ↓ (25) |
39.67 ↓ (47.5) |
1 ↓ (1.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 67.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-40)
- The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wales 3.9% | Draw 2.4% | South Africa 93.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Wales - South Africa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +37.5 - Wales (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wales (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:54 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Thomas G.
| 1. Steenekamp G.
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2. Lake D.
| 2. Grobbelaar J.
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3. Assiratti K.
| 3. Louw W.
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4. Carter B.
| 4. Kleyn J.
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5. Davies R.
| 5. Nortje R.
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6. Plumtree T.
| 6. Kolisi S.
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7. Mann A.
| 7. Mostert F.
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8. Wainwright A.
| 8. Wiese J.
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9. Hardy K.
| 9. van den Berg M.
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10. Edwards D.
| 10. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
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11. Dyer R.
| 11. Moodie C.
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12. Hawkins J.
| 12. Esterhuizen A.
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13. Roberts J.
| 13. de Allende D.
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14. Mee E.
| 14. Hooker E.
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15. Murray B.
| 15. Willemse D.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Coghlan B.
| 16. Mbonambi B.
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17. Southworth D.
| 17. Porthen Z.
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18. Coleman C.
| 18. Ntlabakanye A.
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19. Ratti J.
| 19. Etzebeth E.
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20. Morse M.
| 20. van Staden M.
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21. Morgan-Williams R.
| 21. Dixon B.
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22. Sheedy C.
| 22. Smith K.
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23. Thomas B.
| 23. Reinach C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 28)
- 8', Steenekamp G. (Try),
- 9', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Hooker E. (Try),
- 14', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Wiese J. (Try),
- 31', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+3', van den Berg M. (Try),
- 40+3', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 45)
- 42', Plumtree T. 🟨,
- 42', Louw W. (Try),
- 43', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Try),
- 47', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Moodie C. (Try),
- 51', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Esterhuizen A. (Try),
- 53', Wainwright A. 🟨,
- 62', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Try),
- 63', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Nortje R. (Try),
- 69', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Etzebeth E. (Try),
- 78', Etzebeth E. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales won 1.South Africa is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, South Africa is the clear favorite.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Wales won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 316:511. (average 16.6:26.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 23.11.24 | Wales - South Africa | 12:45 | | 22.06.24 | South Africa - Wales | 41:13 | | 19.08.23 | Wales - South Africa | 16:52 | | 16.07.22 | South Africa - Wales | 30:14 | | 09.07.22 | South Africa - Wales | 12:13 | | 02.07.22 | South Africa - Wales | 32:29 | | 06.11.21 | Wales - South Africa | 18:23 |
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