Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport


	Stade Aurillacois		Colomiers

	1	X	2
	1.67	19	2.3
	1.7	21	2.21
	1.62	18.29	2.49	Watch
	1.62	19	2.38
	1.6	21	2.45
	1.93	20	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	19.72 ↓ (21.5)	2.3 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Aurillacois
54.9%

Draw
4.7%

Colomiers
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

4.3%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

4.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Aurillacois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Colomiers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Aurillacois than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colomiers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Stade Aurillacois (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stade Aurillacois will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stade Aurillacois will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Aurillacois (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 5)
2nd Half (0 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Stade Aurillacois will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 357:465. (average 17.9:23.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Aurillacois won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 213:173. (average 23.7:19.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	Aurillac	5	1	0	4	163:197	7
13	Colomiers	5	1	0	4	151:156	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Aurillacois
French Pro D2
19.12.25	Agen - Stade Aurillacois	35:26 ✺
12.12.25	Stade Aurillacois - Mont-De-Marsan	32:19 ✺
05.12.25	Stade Aurillacois - Brive	24:13 ✺
28.11.25	SA XV Charente - Stade Aurillacois	15:20 ✺
14.11.25	Stade Aurillacois - Provence Rugby	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWL
- Colomiers
French Pro D2
19.12.25	Colomiers - Valence Romans Drôme	24:10 ✺
12.12.25	US Dax - Colomiers	13:8 ✺
04.12.25	Colomiers - FC Grenoble	43:7 ✺
27.11.25	Brive - Colomiers	27:18 ✺
14.11.25	Colomiers - Nevers	49:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
19.09.25	Colomiers - Stade Aurillacois	38:13
11.04.25	Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers	37:46
06.09.24	Colomiers - Stade Aurillacois	22:19
16.02.24	Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers	30:17
07.09.23	Colomiers - Stade Aurillacois	27:22
17.03.23	Colomiers - Stade Aurillacois	38:17
02.12.22	Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers	15:10

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