Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 19

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Stade Aurillacois		Valence Romans Drôme

	1	X	2
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.24	25	4.1
	1.27	24.85	4.04	Watch
	1.25	26	4
	1.26	29	4.01
	1.26	26	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	26.14 ↑ (18.48)	4.08 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Aurillacois
73.8%

Draw
3.5%

Valence Romans Drôme
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

4.8%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Aurillacois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Valence Romans Drôme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Aurillacois than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Aurillacois that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valence Romans Drôme than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stade Aurillacois - Valence Romans Drôme Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Valence Romans will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 8)
2nd Half (10 - 13)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 3.

Stade Aurillacois has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valence Romans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Stade Aurillacois is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 155:223. (average 19.4:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Aurillacois won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 47:35. (average 15.7:11.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Valence Romans	5	1	0	4	120:119	8
12	Aurillac	5	1	0	4	163:197	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Aurillacois
French Pro D2
23.01.26	Provence Rugby - Stade Aurillacois	26:10 ✺
16.01.26	Béziers - Stade Aurillacois	22:7 ✺
09.01.26	Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers	14:15 ✺
19.12.25	Agen - Stade Aurillacois	35:26 ✺
12.12.25	Stade Aurillacois - Mont-De-Marsan	32:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Valence Romans Drôme Rugby
French Pro D2
23.01.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Carcassonne	24:17 ✺
16.01.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Valence Romans Drôme	18:13 ✺
09.01.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Béziers	8:0 ✺
19.12.25	Colomiers - Valence Romans Drôme	24:10 ✺
12.12.25	Valence Romans Drôme - FC Grenoble	33:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
07.11.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Stade Aurillacois	53:22
07.03.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Stade Aurillacois	41:14
06.12.24	Stade Aurillacois - Valence Romans Drôme	18:13
10.05.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Stade Aurillacois	36:41
17.11.23	Stade Aurillacois - Valence Romans Drôme	11:10
26.03.21	Valence Romans Drôme - Stade Aurillacois	37:12
18.12.20	Stade Aurillacois - Valence Romans Drôme	18:12

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