Match Info
Top 14 - Round 25Date: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Asia | TV5 Monde Asia |
Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
France | CANAL+ France |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
United-kingdom | FloSports app |
Usa | TV5 Monde |
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Stade Français |
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Aviron Bayonnais |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 63.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Stade Français 86.4% | Draw 2.7% | Aviron Bayonnais 10.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Stade Français - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 41:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Alo-Emile M.
| 1. Cormenier S.
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2. Peyresblanques L.
| 2. Martin L.
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3. Alo-Emile P.
| 3. Setiano E.
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4. Gabrillagues P. (C)
| 4. Iturria A. (C)
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5. Azagoh P.
| 5. Paulos L.
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6. Vili T.
| 6. Fischer A.
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7. Hirigoyen M.
| 7. Heguy B.
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8. Tanga Mangene Y.
| 8. Lomidze N.
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9. Abadie P.
| 9. Machenaud M.
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10. Carbonel L.
| 10. Segonds J.
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11. Ezeala S.
| 11. Tiberghien C.
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12. Nene N.
| 12. Tuilagi M.
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13. Ward J. C.
| 13. Erbinartegaray A.
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14. Dakuwaqa P.
| 14. Spring T.
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15. Barre L.
| 15. Orabe Y.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Nicotera G.
| 16. Giudicelli V.
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17. Iscaro J.
| 17. Bordelai A.
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18. Pesenti B.
| 18. Johnson E.
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19. Briatte R.
| 19. Traversier N.
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20. Macalou S.
| 20. Jantjies H.
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21. Motassi T.
| 21. Mori F.
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22. Marchant J.
| 22. Hannoun V.
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23. Melikidze G.
| 23. Tagi L.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 0)
- 11', Machenaud M. 🟨,
- 11', (Penalty Try),
- 17', Peyresblanques L. (Try),
- 37', Barre L. (Try),
- 37', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 21)
- 49', Vili T. (Try),
- 49', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Orabe Y. (Try),
- 52', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Jantjies H. (Try),
- 59', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Bordelai A. 🟨,
- 65', Tagi L. 🟨,
- 66', Marchant J. (Try),
- 75', Melikidze G. (Try),
- 75', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Hannoun V. (Try),
- 80+2', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2.Stade Français has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins). In this match, Stade Français is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 429:401. (average 21.5:20.1).Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 256:176. (average 28.4:19.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 5 | Aviron Bayonnais | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 190:214 | 17 |
| 6 | Stade Francais Paris | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 147:158 | 14 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 27.12.25 | Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français | 35:34 | | 22.03.25 | Stade Français - Aviron Bayonnais | 31:27 | | 01.12.24 | Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français | 21:13 | | 20.04.24 | Stade Français - Aviron Bayonnais | 28:24 | | 29.10.23 | Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français | 16:3 | | 18.02.23 | Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français | 29:26 | | 17.09.22 | Stade Français - Aviron Bayonnais | 26:16 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;