Match Info

Top 14 - Round 22

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Toulon		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.06	35	8.4
	1.06	37.33	10.08	Watch
	1.06	29	8
	1.05	36	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.07)	35.67 ↑ (33)	9.1 ↑ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
87.3%

Draw
2.6%

Aviron Bayonnais
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

2.8%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gros J.	1. Cormenier S.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Martin L.
3. Sinckler K.	3. Tagi L.
4. Halagahu M. (C)	4. Johnson E.
5. Javakhia G.	5. Moon A.
6. Mercer Z.	6. Traversier N.
7. Abadie E.	7. Iturria A. (C)
8. Shioshvili M.	8. Capilla E.
9. Serin B.	9. Jantjies H.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Spring T.
11. Ferte M.	11. Erbinartegaray A.
12. Cowie O.	12. Mori F.
13. Brex N.	13. Martocq G.
14. Drean G.	14. Leveque T.
15. Jaminet M.	15. Orabe Y.
Substitutes
16. Damond P.	16. Giudicelli V.
17. Ametlla L.	17. Calles I.
18. Mezou C.	18. Paulos L.
19. Coulon J.	19. Ariceta M.
20. Albornoz T.	20. Germain B.
21. White B.	21. Tuilagi M.
22. Frisch A.	22. Carreras M.
23. Sorhaindo O.	23. Cotet P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 12)
5', Ferte M. (Try),
5', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
9', Brex N. (Try),
16', Capilla E. (Try),
22', Spring T. (Try),
22', Spring T. (Conversion Goal),
26', Sinckler K. (Try),
26', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
37', Shioshvili M. (Try),
37', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Ferte M. (Try),
40+2', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 14)
45', Erbinartegaray A. (Try),
46', Spring T. (Conversion Goal),
57', Mori F. (Try),
58', Spring T. (Conversion Goal),
69', Cowie O. (Try),
70', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
73', Ariceta M. 🟨,
76', Jaminet M. (Try),
79', Damond P. (Try),
79', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 3.

Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bayonne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toulon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 615:351. (average 30.8:17.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 365:132. (average 36.5:13.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Aviron Bayonnais	5	4	0	1	156:169	17
13	RC Toulonnais	5	1	0	4	101:115	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
18.04.26	Montauban - Toulon	22:47 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	19:22 ✺
04.04.26	Toulon - Stormers	28:27 ✺
French Top 14
28.03.26	Perpignan - Toulon	34:20 ✺
21.03.26	Toulon - Stade Français	27:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWLL
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
18.04.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Section Paloise	22:54 ✺
28.03.26	Aviron Bayonnais - La Rochelle	26:15 ✺
21.03.26	Montauban - Aviron Bayonnais	26:60 ✺
28.02.26	Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais	38:15 ✺
14.02.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Racing Métro	36:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
28.09.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	35:32
07.06.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	18:10
23.11.24	Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais	39:19
31.03.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	10:46
26.08.23	Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais	19:14
31.12.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	23:18
03.09.22	Toulon - Aviron Bayonnais	40:25

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