Match Info
Top 14 - Round 4Date: 27 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ Sport 360, CANAL+ Sport |
United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Stade Français |
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Bordeaux Bègles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.91 |
19 |
1.91 |
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 |
1.98 |
22 |
1.85 |
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2 |
17 |
1.83 |
|
 |
2.02 |
21 |
1.89 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.37) |
19.75 ↑ (19) |
1.87 ↑ (1.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Stade Français 46.3% | Draw 4.6% | Bordeaux Bègles 49% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Français's performance.Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bordeaux Bègles might be facing challenges that affect their performance.Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Français (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Paiva T.
| 1. Poirot J.
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2. Nicotera G.
| 2. Lamothe M.
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3. Melikidze G.
| 3. Sadie C.
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4. Gabrillagues P.
| 4. Palu B.
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5. Pesenti B.
| 5. Cazeaux C.
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6. Halaifonua T.
| 6. Bochaton P.
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7. Briatte R.
| 7. Woki C.
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8. Tanga Mangene Y.
| 8. Vergnes-Taillefer B.
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9. Kerr-Barlow T.
| 9. Hutteau V.
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10. Carbonel L.
| 10. Jalibert M.
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11. Marchant J.
| 11. Bielle-Biarrey L.
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12. Vili T.
| 12. Janse van Rensburg R.
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13. Ward J. C.
| 13. Depoortere N.
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14. Dakuwaqa P.
| 14. Rayasi S.
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15. Barre L.
| 15. Mousques X.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Peyresblanques L.
| 16. Sa C.
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17. Alo-Emile M.
| 17. Perchaud M.
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18. Azagoh P.
| 18. Jacobs T.
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19. Macalou S.
| 19. Matiu T.
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20. Chapuis R.
| 20. Gazzotti M.
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21. Abadie P.
| 21. Page-Relo M.
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22. Ezeala S.
| 22. Laharrague J.
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23. Alo-Emile P.
| 23. Taufa T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (18 - 0)
- 2', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 10', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 14', Dakuwaqa P. (Try),
- 31', Dakuwaqa P. (Try),
- 32', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Poirot J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (10 - 7)
- 42', Woki C. (Try),
- 42', (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 67', Gabrillagues P. (Try),
- 68', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 2. Bordeaux Bègles could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 356:540. (average 17.8:27).Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 207:192. (average 20.7:19.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 04.01.25 | Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles | 19:46 | | 07.09.24 | Bordeaux Bègles - Stade Français | 46:24 | | 22.06.24 | Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles | 15:22 | | 19.05.24 | Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles | 22:18 | | 27.01.24 | Bordeaux Bègles - Stade Français | 26:30 | | 05.02.23 | Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles | 12:6 | | 01.10.22 | Bordeaux Bègles - Stade Français | 15:10 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;