Match Info

Top 14 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Chaban-Delmas (Bordeaux)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Bordeaux Bègles		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.12	30	6.2
	1.08	27.38	9.57	Watch
	1.12	31	6
	1.11	46	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↑ (1.08)	33.68 ↑ (27.38)	6.99 ↓ (9.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux Bègles
83.9%

Draw
2.8%

Aviron Bayonnais
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.8%

3.4%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poirot J.	1. Bordelai A.
2. Lamothe M.	2. Bosch F.
3. Sadie C.	3. Fepulea'i M.
4. Palu B.	4. Johnson E.
5. Cazeaux C.	5. Paulos L.
6. Bochaton P.	6. Fischer A.
7. Woki C.	7. Capilla E.
8. Gazzotti M.	8. Bruni R.
9. Lucu M.	9. Germain B.
10. Jalibert M.	10. Anscombe G.
11. Rayasi S.	11. Carreras M.
12. Depoortere N.	12. Mori F.
13. Uberti P.	13. Maqala S.
14. Penaud D.	14. Erbinartegaray A.
15. Bielle-Biarrey L.	15. Tiberghien C.
Substitutes
16. Barlot G.	16. Martin L.
17. Perchaud M.	17. Setiano E.
18. Jacobs T.	18. Heguy B.
19. Vergnes-Taillefer B.	19. Habel Kueffner G.
20. Page-Relo M.	20. Tilloles B.
21. Janse van Rensburg R.	21. Spring T.
22. Mousques X.	22. Tuilagi M.
23. Tameifuna B.	23. Cotet P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 0)
4', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
4', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
21', Penaud D. (Try),
21', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
34', Rayasi S. (Try),
34', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
35', Penaud D. (Try),
35', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
40+2', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 12)
45', Maqala S. (Try),
46', Anscombe G. (Conversion Goal),
62', Mousques X. (Try),
72', Erbinartegaray A. 🟨,
73', Bochaton P. (Try),
80', Tiberghien C. (Try),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Bordeaux Bègles is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 487:329. (average 28.6:19.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bordeaux Bègles won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 293:153. (average 32.6:17).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14
18.10.25	Perpignan - Bordeaux Bègles	12:27 ✺
12.10.25	Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles	56:13 ✺
04.10.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Lyon	32:20 ✺
27.09.25	Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles	28:7 ✺
20.09.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Montauban	71:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
18.10.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	44:17 ✺
11.10.25	Section Paloise - Aviron Bayonnais	47:24 ✺
05.10.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulouse	40:26 ✺
28.09.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	35:32 ✺
20.09.25	Castres - Aviron Bayonnais	48:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
15.02.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles	36:32
05.10.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	30:27
27.04.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles	15:34
06.01.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	24:23
07.01.23	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	23:15
24.09.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles	20:15
08.05.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Bègles	22:47

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