Match Info

Top 14 - Round 12

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Chaban-Delmas (Bordeaux)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bordeaux Bègles		Toulon

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.13	30	5.8
	1.17	30.32	5.69	Watch
	1.14	34	5.5
	1.15	34	5.53
	1.14	36	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.16)	33.05 ↑ (26)	5.84 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux Bègles
81.3%

Draw
2.8%

Toulon
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.8%

3.5%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Toulon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toulon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perchaud M.	1. Priso D.
2. Lamothe M.	2. Baubigny T.
3. Sadie C.	3. Sinckler K.
4. Gray J.	4. Rebbadj S.
5. Coleman A.	5. Alainu'uese B.
6. Vergnes-Taillefer B.	6. Karaba J.
7. Woki C.	7. Abadie E.
8. Matiu T.	8. Ollivon C. (C)
9. Lucu M. (C)	9. Serin B.
10. Jalibert M.	10. Garcia M.
11. Bielle-Biarrey L.	11. Tuicuvu S.
12. Moefana Y.	12. Nonu M.
13. Depoortere N.	13. Brex N.
14. Penaud D.	14. Drean G.
15. Buros R.	15. Ferte M.
Substitutes
16. Barlot G.	16. Toevalu J.
17. Boniface U.	17. Ametlla L.
18. Palu B.	18. Mezou C.
19. Jacobs T.	19. Ludlam L.
20. Retiere A.	20. Coulon J.
21. Janse van Rensburg R.	21. White B.
22. Rayasi S.	22. Sinzelle J.
23. Falatea S.	23. Sorhaindo O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (27 - 0)
2', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
2', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
8', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
21', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
25', Buros R. (Try),
25', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
31', Depoortere N. (Try),
31', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 7)
59', Palu B. 🟨,
60', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
60', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
66', Jalibert M. (Try),
68', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
72', Boniface U. (Try),
72', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Rayasi S. (Try),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bordeaux Bègles is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 429:535. (average 21.5:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bordeaux Bègles won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 284:233. (average 25.8:21.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Bordeaux Bègles
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Llanelli Scarlets	50:21 ✺
06.12.25	Blue Bulls - Bordeaux Bègles	33:46 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Montpellier - Bordeaux Bègles	28:24 ✺
21.11.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Section Paloise	33:34 ✺
01.11.25	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	26:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW
- RC Toulonnais
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Toulon - Bath	45:34 ✺
07.12.25	Edinburgh - Toulon	33:20 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Toulon - Montauban	54:28 ✺
23.11.25	Stade Français - Toulon	51:24 ✺
08.11.25	Toulon - La Rochelle	39:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
21.06.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	39:24
01.06.25	Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles	27:10
28.12.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	21:17
04.02.24	Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles	32:37
03.09.23	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	22:17
28.05.23	Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles	35:19
30.10.22	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon	27:26

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