Match Info
NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 12 October 2024, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Trafalgar Park (Nelson) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 New Zealand | 14:05 | Sky Sport 2 |
 South Africa | 03:05 | SuperSport Rugby |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tasman |
|
Canterbury |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
21 |
2.62 |
|
 |
1.59 |
22 |
2.4 |
|
 |
1.6 |
23.59 |
2.49 |
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
23 |
2.5 |
|
 |
1.59 |
20 |
2.49 |
|
 |
1.59 |
22 |
2.4 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.38) |
21.93 ↓
(25) |
2.48 ↓
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tasman
58.8% | Draw
4.2% | Canterbury
37% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tasman's form might have worsened.Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canterbury's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tasman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canterbury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Tasman - Canterbury Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:25 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Coxon R.
| 1. Brewis F.
|
2. MacDonald Q.
| 2. Bell G.
|
3. Matenga S.
| 3. Newell F.
|
4. Leppien H.
| 4. Darry S.
|
5. Shalfoon A.
| 5. Gallagher Z.
|
6. Sail T.
| 6. Kellow C.
|
7. Lee J.
| 7. Christie T.
|
8. Anderson F.
| 8. Harmon B.
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9. Christie F.
| 9. Drummond M.
|
10.  Havili W.
| 10. Poihipi R.
|
11. Taumoefolau K.
| 11. Punivai N.
|
12. Havili D.
| 12. McLeod D.
|
13. Aumua L.
| 13. Ennor B.
|
14. Gray J.
| 14. Fihaki C.
|
15. Springer M.
| 15. Hutchinson I.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Moli S.
| 16. McAlister B.
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17. Moli M.
| 17. Lienert-Brown D.
|
18.  Tiko J.
| 18. Calder S.
|
19. Hemopo T.
| 19. Cahill T.
|
20. Stewart B.
| 20. Grace C.
|
21. Hotham N.
| 21.  Heinz W.
|
22. Butler W.
| 22. Rova J.
|
23. Sauira N.
| 23. Crotty R.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 33)
- 7', Kellow C. (Try),
- 13', Drummond M. (Try),
- 13', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 21', Ennor B. (Try),
- 22', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Punivai N. (Try),
- 31', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Aumua L. (Try),
- 36', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 39', Christie T. (Try),
- 40', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 29)
- 43', Punivai N. (Try),
- 44', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Havili D. (Try),
- 47', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
- 53', Fihaki C. (Try),
- 65', McAlister B. (Try),
- 67', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Harmon B. (Try),
- 69', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Hutchinson I. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tasman won 1. Recent matches Tasman is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Canterbury is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Tasman could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Tasman is a favorite. Our prediction for today's Tasman to win the game is with odds 1.36.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Tasman won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 310:433 (average 19.4:27.1). Including matches at home between the teams Tasman won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 147:238 (average 16.3:26.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 16.08.24 | Tasman - Canterbury | 22:7 | | 23.09.23 | Canterbury - Tasman | 30:28 | | 26.08.22 | Tasman - Canterbury | 20:52 | | 29.10.21 | Canterbury - Tasman | 24:20 | | 07.11.20 | Tasman - Canterbury | 0:29 | | 17.08.19 | Canterbury - Tasman | 8:23 | | 19.10.18 | Tasman - Canterbury | 16:21 |
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