Match Info
NPC - Round 8Date: 18 September 2026, Friday ๐ Finished Location: Trafalgar Park (Nelson) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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Argentina | 04:10 | Disney+ |
Australia | 17:10 | Stan Sport |
Brazil | 04:10 | Disney+ |
Mexico | 01:10 | Disney+ |
New Zealand | 19:10 | Sky Sport 1 |
Peru | 02:10 | Disney+ |
Uruguay | 04:10 | Disney+ |
International | 07:10 | RugbyPass TV |
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Tasman |
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Auckland |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.32 |
28 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.3 |
23 |
3.25 |
Watch |
 |
1.28 |
25 |
3.1 |
|
 |
1.31 |
23 |
3.62 |
|
 |
1.32 |
28 |
3.4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.31 ↓ (1.43) |
25.4 ↓ (30) |
3.35 ↑ (2.93) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tasman 69.4% | Draw 3.6% | Auckland 27% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Tasman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Auckland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tasman that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auckland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tasman - Auckland Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:28 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (15 - 14)
- 2nd Half (7 - 10)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 3.Tasman has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Auckland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Tasman is considered a favorite.We predict that Tasman will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 349:324. (average 23.3:21.6).Including home matches between the teams, Tasman won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 200:124. (average 25:15.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 07.09.25 | Tasman - Auckland | 21:29 | | 02.10.24 | Tasman - Auckland | 31:17 | | 12.08.23 | Tasman - Auckland | 24:12 | | 17.09.22 | Auckland - Tasman | 30:27 | | 13.08.21 | Tasman - Auckland | 16:11 | | 28.11.20 | Auckland - Tasman | 12:13 | | 16.10.20 | Auckland - Tasman | 31:10 |
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